WSG Wattens vs TSV Hartberg Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: WSG Wattens 2-2 TSV Hartberg.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% WSG Wattens, 29% draw, 29% TSV Hartberg — fair odds of 2.38, 3.45 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Austrian Bundesliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts WSG Wattens at 42% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — WSG Wattens vs TSV Hartberg
Line-ups
- 1S. HamzićG
- 5D. MurrayD
- 23M. BorasD
- 3D. GugganigD
- 28M. OswaldD
- 6Marc StriednigM
- 30M. TafernerM
- 18H. BalićM
- 36T. GoigingerM
- 17M. OlakigbeM
- 8N. FrederiksenF
- 43N. ČelićM
- 13A. EckmayrG
- 32Raphael GschösserM
- 16L. HinterseerF
- 27D. JauneggD
- 14D. KubattaD
- 10T. SabitzerF
- 11M. ŞatinM
- 37M. WelsM
- 91Á. PécsiG
- 18F. WilfingerD
- 27K. SchoppD
- 14P. KomposchD
- 16M. DalpiazD
- 4B. MarkušM
- 7A. GattermayerM
- 5Y. DiarraM
- 23T. KainzM
- 10O. LukicM
- 22M. HoffmanF
- 95Nikolaus FeldhoferM
- 17J. KarnerM
- 77D. KorherrF
- 21L. MarićG
- 8M. PostlF
- 49A. RadulovićF
- 19L. SpendlhoferD
- 11J. DrewF
- 6Habib CoulibalyD
Form going into WSG Wattens vs TSV Hartberg
WSG Wattens
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Austria Vienna2 September 2026
- W4-0away to Austria Lustenau28 August 2026
- L0-3Red Bull Salzburg16 August 2026
- L1-3away to SCR Altach7 August 2026
- D1-1Sturm Graz1 August 2026
TSV Hartberg
All competitions we cover
- W3-2Ried30 August 2026
- W2-1away to SCR Altach22 August 2026
- L0-2Austria Vienna16 August 2026
- L0-2Sturm Graz8 August 2026
- L0-1away to Red Bull Salzburg1 August 2026
What these results say
- WSG Wattens scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- TSV Hartberg conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | WSG Wattens | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 | TSV Hartberg | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: WSG Wattens vs TSV Hartberg
- 13 December 2025TSV Hartberg 2–1 WSG WattensBundesliga
- 2 August 2025WSG Wattens 4–2 TSV HartbergBundesliga
- 17 May 2025TSV Hartberg 3–2 WSG WattensBundesliga
- 5 April 2025WSG Wattens 1–3 TSV HartbergBundesliga
- 9 February 2025WSG Wattens 0–0 TSV HartbergBundesliga
Leading scorers: WSG Wattens and TSV Hartberg
WSG Wattens
GoalsAssists
- N. Frederiksen40
TSV Hartberg
GoalsAssists
- C. Hoffmann41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
WSG Wattens and TSV Hartberg drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for WSG Wattens at 42% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Oliver Lukic 14' for TSV Hartberg, Marco Hoffmann 44' for TSV Hartberg, Lukas Hinterseer 72' for WSG Wattens, Murat Satin (penalty) 90+5' for WSG Wattens.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.