Sheffield Utd vs Wolves Championship prediction & result
Final score: Sheffield Utd 0-1 Wolves.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% Sheffield Utd, 29% draw, 39% Wolves — fair odds of 3.13, 3.45 and 2.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Championship predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Wolves at 39% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sheffield Utd vs Wolves
Line-ups
- 1M. CooperG
- 5J. TangangaD
- 25M. McGuinnessD
- 15L. KitchingD
- 8H. ChoudhuryM
- 42Sydie PeckM
- 27K. PhillipsM
- 4O. ArblasterM
- 3S. McCallumM
- 45P. BamfordF
- 22B. BreretonF
- 10J. AyewF
- 9T. CannonF
- 17A. DaviesG
- 2M. DohertyD
- 11R. DonovanM
- 30R. Norrington-DaviesD
- 44J. RiedewaldM
- 7J. RothwellM
- 16J. ShackletonD
- 1José SáG
- 38J. TchatchouaD
- 34N. DjigaD
- 37L. KrejčíD
- 3Hugo BuenoD
- 7AndréM
- 5M. MunetsiM
- 21Rodrigo GomesM
- 28Fer LópezM
- 36M. ManeM
- 10A. ArmstrongF
- 14S. NeaveF
- 24Toti GomesD
- 2K. TrippierD
- 13João VirgíniaG
- 9R. JiménezF
- 33G. KonanD
- 8J. JamesM
- 20T. DoyleM
- 12B. TraoréM
Form going into Sheffield Utd vs Wolves
Sheffield Utd
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Blackburn8 September 2026
- L1-3Norwich5 September 2026
- W3-2Bolton1 September 2026
- D2-2away to Cardiff29 August 2026
- D0-0away to Swansea22 August 2026
Wolves
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Birmingham6 September 2026
- L2-4away to West Ham1 September 2026
- W4-1Stoke City29 August 2026
- W3-1away to Preston22 August 2026
- D2-2Blackburn14 August 2026
What these results say
- Sheffield Utd scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Sheffield Utd conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Sheffield Utd had three goals or more.
- Wolves scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Wolves conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Wolves had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 16 |
| 4 | Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | +4 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sheffield Utd vs Wolves
- 25 February 2024Wolves 1–0 Sheffield UtdPremier League
- 4 November 2023Sheffield Utd 2–1 WolvesPremier League
- 9 January 2022Wolves 3–0 Sheffield UtdFA Cup
- 17 April 2021Wolves 1–0 Sheffield UtdPremier League
- 14 September 2020Sheffield Utd 0–2 WolvesPremier League
Leading scorers: Sheffield Utd and Wolves
Sheffield Utd
GoalsAssists
- P. Bamford51
Wolves
GoalsAssists
- Fer López53
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Wolves won 1–0 at Sheffield Utd. The model had made a win for Wolves its most likely outcome, at 39%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: Raúl Jiménez 90' for Wolves.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.