Corvinul Hunedoara
vs
Universitatea Craiova
Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Corvinul Hunedoara 0-1 Universitatea Craiova.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% Corvinul Hunedoara, 32% draw, 36% Universitatea Craiova — fair odds of 3.13, 3.13 and 2.78. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Corvinul Hunedoara 1.02, Universitatea Craiova 1.15.
Both teams to score: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 37%, under 2.5: 63%.
Model confidence: Low.
Published · updated
Model insights: Corvinul Hunedoara vs Universitatea Craiova
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Universitatea Craiova at 36% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1728 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Corvinul Hunedoara vs Universitatea Craiova
Line-ups
- 21C. SanduG
- 13F. IacobD
- 15M. IvančevićD
- 30A. ManolacheD
- 10A. NeacșaD
- 99E. YeboahM
- 20Sérgio RibeiroM
- 23I. CărărușM
- 19N. PîrvulescuM
- 22A. FábryM
- 9R. EspinosaF
- 70R. DeaconuM
- 12A. FrânculescuG
- 32A. GillardF
- 14M. HayatuF
- 97D. HrezdacM
- 18F. IlieD
- 29E. OkoroF
- 11Roger RodriguesM
- 33S DrîngăG
- 21L. PopescuG
- 3O. RomanchukD
- 24N. StevanovićD
- 6V. ScreciuD
- 17C. MoraM
- 8T. BăluțăM
- 20A. CicâldăuM
- 11N. BancuM
- 30D. MateiF
- 9A. Al HamlawiF
- 12M. EtimF
- 23Samuel TelesM
- 90R. SavaG
- 16João LameiraM
- 18M. RădulescuM
- 5B. RouxD
- 7S. NsimbaF
- 1A. MaximG
- 22S. ElisorF
- 4A. CrețuM
Form going into Corvinul Hunedoara vs Universitatea Craiova
Corvinul Hunedoara
- L0-2away to Petrolul Ploiesti6 September 2026
- D1-1Dinamo Bucuresti29 August 2026
- D0-0away to Uta Arad22 August 2026
- W3-0CFR 1907 Cluj16 August 2026
Universitatea Craiova
- W4-0Universitatea Cluj7 September 2026
- D1-1away to Rapid31 August 2026
- W3-1FC Voluntari23 August 2026
- D1-1away to Oțelul16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 3 | Universitatea Craiova | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | +10 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Corvinul Hunedoara vs Universitatea Craiova
- 13 September 2026Corvinul Hunedoara 0–1 Universitatea CraiovaLiga I
Expected against actual
Pre-match the model expected 1.02 goals for Corvinul Hunedoara and 1.15 for Universitatea Craiova; the game produced 0 and 1.
Goals
Scorers, in order: Alexandru Cicâldău 51' (Universitatea Craiova).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1151 correct results out of 2437 settled predictions (47%), with 230 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Universitatea Craiova the highest probability at 36%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.02 expected goals for Corvinul Hunedoara against 1.15 for Universitatea Craiova. Corvinul Hunedoara's attack/defence rating is 0.44/1.19 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.8/1.43 for Universitatea Craiova.