Bundesliga · Regular Season - 1 · 1 August 2026, 15:00 UTC

WSG Wattens vs Sturm Graz

Tivoli Stadion Tirol, Innsbruck

The model makes it 23% WSG Wattens, 24% draw, 53% Sturm Graz — fair odds of 4.35, 4.17 and 1.89. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

Expected goals: WSG Wattens 1.14, Sturm Graz 1.84.

Both teams to score: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 57%, under 2.5: 43%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

58%
Both teams to score
57%
Over 2.5 goals
43%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-1 11%1-2 10%0-1 9%

Head-to-head: WSG Wattens vs Sturm Graz

  • 14 February 2026WSG Wattens 1–0 Sturm GrazBundesliga
  • 3 December 2025Sturm Graz 1–3 WSG WattensBundesliga
  • 7 December 2024WSG Wattens 0–3 Sturm GrazBundesliga
  • 31 August 2024Sturm Graz 4–2 WSG WattensBundesliga
  • 25 February 2024WSG Wattens 0–2 Sturm GrazBundesliga
  • 1 October 2023Sturm Graz 1–0 WSG WattensBundesliga
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Sturm Graz the highest probability at 53%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.14 expected goals for WSG Wattens against 1.84 for Sturm Graz. WSG Wattens's attack/defence rating is 0.42/1.48 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.89/1.43 for Sturm Graz.