Bundesliga · Regular Season - 1 · 2 August 2026, 15:00 UTC

Austria Lustenau vs Ried

Planet Pure Stadion, Lustenau

The model makes it 53% Austria Lustenau, 24% draw, 23% Ried — fair odds of 1.89, 4.17 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Expected goals: Austria Lustenau 1.78, Ried 1.10.

Both teams to score: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%, under 2.5: 45%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

56%
Both teams to score
55%
Over 2.5 goals
45%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-1 12%2-1 10%1-0 9%

Head-to-head: Austria Lustenau vs Ried

  • 21 April 2025Ried 1–1 Austria Lustenau2. Liga
  • 18 October 2024Austria Lustenau 1–1 Ried2. Liga
  • 6 May 2023Austria Lustenau 2–2 RiedBundesliga
  • 29 April 2023Ried 4–4 Austria LustenauBundesliga
  • 23 October 2022Austria Lustenau 0–0 RiedBundesliga
  • 30 July 2022Ried 1–0 Austria LustenauBundesliga
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Austria Lustenau the highest probability at 53%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.78 expected goals for Austria Lustenau against 1.1 for Ried. Austria Lustenau's attack/defence rating is 0.41/1.35 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.58/2.3 for Ried.