1 August 2026, 15:30 UTC

FC Voluntari vs Uta Arad Liga I prediction & result

Stadionul Anghel Iordanescu, Voluntari
Full time1 0

Final score: FC Voluntari 1-0 Uta Arad.

Before kick-off the model made it 25% FC Voluntari, 25% draw, 50% Uta Arad — fair odds of 4.00, 4.00 and 2.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Uta Arad at 50% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Voluntari95%Draw5%Uta Arad0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

M. Schiebassist: G. Merloi
47'
I. Gheorghe
51'
55'
🔁R. Odadaout: H. Abdallah
55'
🔁A. Pituout: I. Sinani
65'
🔁M. Tzionisout: J. Papeau
🔁G. Merloiout: M. Mamic
67'
73'
🔁A. Padulaout: D. Taroi
73'
🔁M. Comanout: R. Badescu
76'
S. Mino
🔁I. Gheorgheout: D. Toma
77'
82'
D. Pospelov
🔁R. Guteaout: R. Petculescu
87'
🔁A. Suteuout: D. Kiki
87'
🔁M. Schiebout: F. Haita
87'
D. Dumbravanu
90+1'

Match stats — FC Voluntari vs Uta Arad

37%Possession63%
9Shots18
3On target1
2Corners3

Line-ups

FC Voluntari 4-4-2
  • 31Metod JurharG
  • 5Denis HaruțD
  • 27Radu CrişanD
  • 4Daniel DumbrăvanuD
  • 30Alexandru ȘuteuD
  • 19Marvin SchiebM
  • 8Ion GheorgheM
  • 44Mihael OnișaM
  • 11Remus GuțeaM
  • 10Cristian MerloiF
  • 9Matko BabićF
Substitutes
  • 14Eduard ChioveanuG
  • 12Bogdan ȘtefanG
  • 25David KikiD
  • 23Matej MamićD
  • 28Mario ȘtefanM
  • 80Florian HaităM
  • 7Daniel TomaM
  • 21Robert PetculescuF
  • 6Darius GhindoveanM
Coach: Florin Pirvu
Uta Arad 4-2-3-1
  • 33Andrei GorceaG
  • 2Andrei DorobanțuD
  • 4Alexandru BengaD
  • 60Dmytro PospelovD
  • 72Andrea PadulaD
  • 5Sota MinoM
  • 16Richard OdadaM
  • 80Alexi PituM
  • 8Roman AlinM
  • 10Marinos TzionisM
  • 9Marius ComanF
Substitutes
  • 96Árpád TordaiG
  • 15Peter OuanehD
  • 22Robert BădescuD
  • 20Denis ȚăroiM
  • 77Jayson PapeauM
  • 7Ismet SinaniF
  • 11Hakim AbdallahF
Coach: Adrian Mihalcea

Form going into FC Voluntari vs Uta Arad

FC Voluntari

  • L0-5away to CFR 1907 Cluj27 July 2026
  • D2-2FC Botosani17 July 2026

Uta Arad

  • D2-2Oțelul24 July 2026
  • L0-4away to Universitatea Craiova18 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Liga I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15FC Voluntari9225920-118
14Uta Arad92341315-29

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Voluntari vs Uta Arad

  • 1 August 2026FC Voluntari 1–0 Uta AradLiga I
  • 18 March 2024Uta Arad 4–3 FC VoluntariLiga I
  • 17 February 2024FC Voluntari 0–1 Uta AradLiga I
  • 5 December 2023Uta Arad 0–0 FC VoluntariCupa României
  • 30 September 2023Uta Arad 0–0 FC VoluntariLiga I
  • 8 April 2023FC Voluntari 1–1 Uta AradLiga I

Leading scorers: FC Voluntari and Uta Arad

FC Voluntari

  • R. Guțea4 goals

Uta Arad

  • M. Coman4 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.