Budapest Honved
vs
MTK Budapest
The model makes it 16% Budapest Honved, 26% draw, 58% MTK Budapest — fair odds of 6.25, 3.85 and 1.72. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1 (16%).
Expected goals: Budapest Honved 0.70, MTK Budapest 1.56.
Both teams to score: 40%. Over 2.5 goals: 39%, under 2.5: 61%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Head-to-head: Budapest Honved vs MTK Budapest
- 13 July 2024MTK Budapest 4–3 Budapest HonvedFriendlies Clubs
- 24 January 2024MTK Budapest 1–1 Budapest HonvedFriendlies Clubs
- 12 March 2022MTK Budapest 1–0 Budapest HonvedNB I
- 21 November 2021Budapest Honved 3–0 MTK BudapestNB I
- 7 August 2021MTK Budapest 1–0 Budapest HonvedNB I
- 2 March 2021Budapest Honved 3–2 MTK BudapestNB I
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives MTK Budapest the highest probability at 58%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.7 expected goals for Budapest Honved against 1.56 for MTK Budapest. Budapest Honved's attack/defence rating is 0.36/2.19 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.51/1.03 for MTK Budapest.