Bundesliga · Regular Season - 1 · 1 August 2026, 17:30 UTC

Red Bull Salzburg vs TSV Hartberg

Red Bull Arena, Salzburg

The model makes it 75% Red Bull Salzburg, 14% draw, 11% TSV Hartberg — fair odds of 1.33, 7.14 and 9.09. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (8%).

Expected goals: Red Bull Salzburg 2.96, TSV Hartberg 1.08.

Both teams to score: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 77%, under 2.5: 23%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

63%
Both teams to score
77%
Over 2.5 goals
23%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines2-1 8%3-1 8%2-0 8%

Head-to-head: Red Bull Salzburg vs TSV Hartberg

  • 17 May 2026Red Bull Salzburg 1–3 TSV HartbergBundesliga
  • 5 April 2026TSV Hartberg 1–2 Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
  • 1 March 2026Red Bull Salzburg 0–0 TSV HartbergBundesliga
  • 16 August 2025TSV Hartberg 1–2 Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
  • 4 December 2024Red Bull Salzburg 4–0 TSV HartbergBundesliga
  • 30 November 2024TSV Hartberg 1–1 Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Red Bull Salzburg the highest probability at 75%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.96 expected goals for Red Bull Salzburg against 1.08 for TSV Hartberg. Red Bull Salzburg's attack/defence rating is 0.86/1.64 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.47/1.82 for TSV Hartberg.