Wolfsberger AC vs Austria Vienna Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Wolfsberger AC 3-0 Austria Vienna.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Wolfsberger AC, 30% draw, 33% Austria Vienna — fair odds of 2.70, 3.33 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Austrian Bundesliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Wolfsberger AC at 37% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Wolfsberger AC vs Austria Vienna
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 12N. PolsterG
- 6R. BehounekD
- 15C. DiabateD
- 37N. WimmerD
- 31F. WohlmuthM
- 30M. SulznerM
- 34E. AgyemanM
- 11A. SchwarzM
- 17M. Schabauer
- 9G. VrioniF
- 10D. AvdijajF
- 1L. GutlbauerG
- 35M. KitzD
- 8S. PiesingerM
- 32M. PinkF
- 77R. RennerD
- 20T. SchrieblM
- 19O. MamageishviliM
- 23P. VerhounigF
- 49S. KaramokoF
- 1S. Sahin-RadlingerG
- 3I. BuhariD
- 16Lee Kang-HeeD
- 4J. FeddersenD
- 26R. RanftlM
- 30M. FischerM
- 22F. WustingerM
- 17Lee Tae-SeokM
- 37M. WelsF
- 10S. SaljicF
- 19J. EggesteinF
- 99M. KosG
- 20J. HettwerF
- 40D. NnodimD
- 6P. MaybachM
- 7V. MarkovicM
- 46J. HandlD
- 14K. BoatengF
- 21M. SchablasM
- 74H. Deshishku
Form going into Wolfsberger AC vs Austria Vienna
Wolfsberger AC
No earlier matches on record this season.
Austria Vienna
All competitions we cover
- W3-1FK Liepaja30 July 2026
- W2-0away to FK Liepaja23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wolfsberger AC | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 5 |
| 11 | Austria Vienna | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Wolfsberger AC vs Austria Vienna
- 7 December 2025Wolfsberger AC 2–1 Austria ViennaBundesliga
- 10 August 2025Austria Vienna 0–2 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
- 18 May 2025Wolfsberger AC 1–2 Austria ViennaBundesliga
- 6 April 2025Austria Vienna 0–0 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
- 9 November 2024Wolfsberger AC 0–1 Austria ViennaBundesliga
Leading scorers: Wolfsberger AC and Austria Vienna
Wolfsberger AC
GoalsAssists
- G. Vrioni40
Austria Vienna
GoalsAssists
- J. Eggestein30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Wolfsberger AC beat Austria Vienna 3–0. The model had made a win for Wolfsberger AC its most likely outcome, at 37%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: G. Vrioni (penalty) 18' for Wolfsberger AC, A. Schwarz 49' for Wolfsberger AC, G. Vrioni (penalty) 63' for Wolfsberger AC. On expected goals it finished 2.51–0.27.