2 August 2026, 15:00 UTC

Wolfsberger AC vs Austria Vienna Bundesliga prediction & result

Lavanttal-Arena, Wolfsberg
Full time3 – 0

Final score: Wolfsberger AC 3-0 Austria Vienna.

Before kick-off the model made it 37% Wolfsberger AC, 30% draw, 33% Austria Vienna — fair odds of 2.70, 3.33 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Wolfsberger AC at 37% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1728 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Wolfsberger AC99%Draw1%Austria Vienna0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

•Giacomo Vrioni
16'
⚽G. Vrioni (pen)
18'
•Donis Avdijaj
21'
Nicolas Wimmer
31'
⚽A. Schwarzassist: D. Avdijaj
49'
57'
🔁S. Saljicout: J. Hettwer
57'
🔁J. Feddersenout: J. Handl
57'
🔁M. Welsout: K. Boateng
🔁M. Schabauerout: P. Verhounig
60'
⚽G. Vrioni (pen)
63'
69'
🔁F. Wustingerout: D. Nnodim
🔁A. Schwarzout: R. Renner
71'
🔁E. Agyemanout: O. Mamageishvili
71'
🔁G. Vrioniout: M. Pink
79'
🔁D. Avdijajout: S. Karamoko
80'
80'
🔁J. Eggesteinout: H. Deshishku
85'
Daniel Nnodim

Match stats — Wolfsberger AC vs Austria Vienna

47%Possession53%
8Shots7
5On target1
5Corners3
2.51xG0.27

Goals against chances

Wolfsberger AC3 from 2.51 xGabout what the chances were worth
Austria Vienna0 from 0.27 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Wolfsberger AC 3-4-3
  • 12N. PolsterG
  • 6R. BehounekD
  • 15C. DiabateD
  • 37N. WimmerD
  • 31F. WohlmuthM
  • 30M. SulznerM
  • 34E. AgyemanM
  • 11A. SchwarzM
  • 17M. Schabauer
  • 9G. VrioniF
  • 10D. AvdijajF
Substitutes
  • 1L. GutlbauerG
  • 35M. KitzD
  • 8S. PiesingerM
  • 32M. PinkF
  • 77R. RennerD
  • 20T. SchrieblM
  • 19O. MamageishviliM
  • 23P. VerhounigF
  • 49S. KaramokoF
Coach: Thomas Silberberger
Austria Vienna 3-4-2-1
  • 1S. Sahin-RadlingerG
  • 3I. BuhariD
  • 16Lee Kang-HeeD
  • 4J. FeddersenD
  • 26R. RanftlM
  • 30M. FischerM
  • 22F. WustingerM
  • 17Lee Tae-SeokM
  • 37M. WelsF
  • 10S. SaljicF
  • 19J. EggesteinF
Substitutes
  • 99M. KosG
  • 20J. HettwerF
  • 40D. NnodimD
  • 6P. MaybachM
  • 7V. MarkovicM
  • 46J. HandlD
  • 14K. BoatengF
  • 21M. SchablasM
  • 74H. Deshishku
Coach: Stephan Helm

Form going into Wolfsberger AC vs Austria Vienna

Wolfsberger AC

No earlier matches on record this season.

Austria Vienna

  • W3-1FK Liepaja30 July 2026
  • W2-0away to FK Liepaja23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Wolfsberger AC612369-35
8Austria Vienna6204511-66

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Wolfsberger AC vs Austria Vienna

  • 2 August 2026Wolfsberger AC 3–0 Austria ViennaBundesliga
  • 7 December 2025Wolfsberger AC 2–1 Austria ViennaBundesliga
  • 10 August 2025Austria Vienna 0–2 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
  • 18 May 2025Wolfsberger AC 1–2 Austria ViennaBundesliga
  • 6 April 2025Austria Vienna 0–0 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
  • 9 November 2024Wolfsberger AC 0–1 Austria ViennaBundesliga

Leading scorers: Wolfsberger AC and Austria Vienna

Wolfsberger AC

  • G. Vrioni4 goals

Austria Vienna

  • J. Hettwer2 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.