Wolves vs West Brom Championship prediction & result
Final score: Wolves 1-0 West Brom.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% Wolves, 27% draw, 22% West Brom — fair odds of 1.96, 3.70 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Championship predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Wolves at 51% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Wolves vs West Brom
Line-ups
- 1José SáG
- 2K. TrippierD
- 34N. DjigaD
- 24Toti GomesD
- 3Hugo BuenoD
- 7AndréM
- 5M. MunetsiM
- 21Rodrigo GomesM
- 28Fer LópezM
- 36M. ManeM
- 10A. ArmstrongF
- 20T. DoyleM
- 8J. JamesM
- 33G. KonanD
- 14S. NeaveF
- 27J. BellegardeM
- 38J. TchatchouaD
- 11B. TraoréF
- 12B. TraoréM
- 13João VirgíniaG
- 1M. O’LearyG
- 4C. StylesD
- 3N. PhillipsD
- 6G. CampbellD
- 22C. TownsendD
- 29Harry WhitwellM
- 8J. MolumbyM
- 17O. DiakitéM
- 21I. PriceM
- 19A. HeggebøF
- 11J. MorganF
- 23T. BanyF
- 15Tobias Christopher CollyerM
- 13M. IngramG
- 2C. MephamD
- 7F. MyhreM
- 20R. NzingoulaM
- 18B. PereiraD
- 9B. StewartF
- 26K. TundeF
Form going into Wolves vs West Brom
Wolves
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Sheffield Utd13 September 2026
- D2-2away to Birmingham6 September 2026
- L2-4away to West Ham1 September 2026
- W4-1Stoke City29 August 2026
- W3-1away to Preston22 August 2026
West Brom
All competitions we cover
- D1-1QPR12 September 2026
- W1-0away to Derby9 September 2026
- W1-0Watford5 September 2026
- D1-1Charlton2 September 2026
- L1-3away to Middlesbrough29 August 2026
What these results say
- Wolves scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Wolves conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Wolves had three goals or more.
- West Brom scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for West Brom had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | +4 | 21 |
| 5 | West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Wolves vs West Brom
- 28 January 2024West Brom 0–2 WolvesFA Cup
- 3 May 2021West Brom 1–1 WolvesPremier League
- 16 January 2021Wolves 2–3 West BromPremier League
- 12 February 2012Wolves 1–5 West BromPremier League
- 16 October 2011West Brom 2–0 WolvesPremier League
Leading scorers: Wolves and West Brom
Wolves
GoalsAssists
- Fer López53
West Brom
GoalsAssists
- I. Price42
- A. Heggebø41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Wolves beat West Brom 1–0. The model had made a win for Wolves its most likely outcome, at 51%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goal: Fer López 50' for Wolves.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often Wolves's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) and West Brom's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.