20 September 2026, 17:30 UTC

Dinamo Bucuresti vs Farul Constanta Liga I prediction & result

Stadionul Arcul de Triumf, Bucharest
Full time4 – 0

Final score: Dinamo Bucuresti 4-0 Farul Constanta.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% Dinamo Bucuresti, 27% draw, 25% Farul Constanta — fair odds of 2.08, 3.70 and 4.00.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Dinamo Bucuresti at 48%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Dinamo Bucuresti99%Draw1%Farul Constanta0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Martin Pascualassist: Daniel Armstrong
12'
⚽Andrei margineanassist: D. Zandbergen
43'
Daniel Armstrong
45+3'
45+3'
Denis Alibec
⚽Catalin Cirjanassist: Mamoudou Karamoko
54'
57'
🔁Cristian Ganeaout: Răzvan Marincean
57'
🔁Cristian Simaout: Eddy Sylvestre
🔁Daniel Armstrongout: Matthias Verreth
64'
🔁Alberto Soroout: Diogo Pinto
65'
🔁Mamoudou Karamokoout: Oliver Hintsa
70'
73'
🔁Matteo Ahlinviout: Nicolas Popescu
73'
🔁Eduard Radaslavescuout: Alexandru Goncear
80'
🔁Sofyane Bouzamouchaout: Ionut Cercel
🔁Martin Pascualout: Ianis Târbă
84'
🔁D. Zandbergenout: Matteo Duțu
84'
⚽Diogo Pintoassist: Oliver Hintsa
85'

Match stats — Dinamo Bucuresti vs Farul Constanta

45%Possession55%
19Shots10
7On target6
5Corners4

Line-ups

Dinamo Bucuresti 4-4-2
  • 36A. BellaarouchG
  • 20D. IrimiaD
  • 44Martín PascualD
  • 5Imran FetaiD
  • 31R. OpruțD
  • 77D. ArmstrongM
  • 29Alberto SoroM
  • 90A. MărgineanM
  • 10C. CîrjanM
  • 97D. ZandbergenF
  • 9M. KaramokoF
Substitutes
  • 8Diogo PintoM
  • 30M. DuțuD
  • 18O. HintsaF
  • 26A. MaziluF
  • 21Cristian Petrișor MihaiM
  • 66S. OprișM
  • 19R. RaduD
  • 73A. RoșcaG
  • 23I. TarbaF
Coach: Nuno Campos
Farul Constanta 3-4-3
  • 12R. MunteanuG
  • 24S. BouzamouchaD
  • 5N. AberdinD
  • 6V. DicanD
  • 11C. GaneaM
  • 23T. NjikéM
  • 70M. AhlinviM
  • 3V. ȚicuM
  • 28C. SimaF
  • 7D. AlibecF
  • 20E. RădăslăvescuF
Substitutes
  • 1A. BuzbuchiG
  • 13I. CercelD
  • 29A. GoncearF
  • 17I. LarieD
  • 2D. MafteiD
  • 99Răzvan MarinceanF
  • 80N. PopescuM
  • 10E. SylvestreF
  • 19Y. KitalaF
Coach: Ovidiu Sabău

Form going into Dinamo Bucuresti vs Farul Constanta

Dinamo Bucuresti

All competitions we cover

  • W3-1away to Csikszereda11 September 2026
  • W2-1FCSB5 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Corvinul Hunedoara29 August 2026
  • W2-1Universitatea Cluj22 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Rapid15 August 2026

Farul Constanta

All competitions we cover

  • W4-2Uta Arad11 September 2026
  • D0-0away to CFR 1907 Cluj4 September 2026
  • D0-0FC Botosani30 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe23 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Arges Pitesti14 August 2026

What these results say

  • Dinamo Bucuresti went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Dinamo Bucuresti scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Dinamo Bucuresti won 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Farul Constanta went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Farul Constanta failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Farul Constanta had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Dinamo Bucuresti1510323211+2133
6Farul Constanta156632422+224

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Dinamo Bucuresti vs Farul Constanta

  • 11 July 2026Dinamo Bucuresti 1–3 Farul ConstantaFriendlies Clubs
  • 4 February 2026Farul Constanta 2–3 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
  • 3 December 2025Farul Constanta 0–0 Dinamo BucurestiCupa României
  • 22 September 2025Dinamo Bucuresti 1–1 Farul ConstantaLiga I
  • 15 February 2025Dinamo Bucuresti 0–2 Farul ConstantaLiga I

Leading scorers: Dinamo Bucuresti and Farul Constanta

Dinamo Bucuresti

GoalsAssists

  • D. Armstrong610
  • Martín Pascual50
  • Alberto Soro44

Farul Constanta

GoalsAssists

  • M. Ahlinvi71
  • E. Rădăslăvescu53

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Dinamo Bucuresti beat Farul Constanta 4–0. The model had made a win for Dinamo Bucuresti its most likely outcome, at 48%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Martin Pascual 12' for Dinamo Bucuresti, Andrei marginean 43' for Dinamo Bucuresti, Catalin Cirjan 54' for Dinamo Bucuresti, Diogo Pinto 85' for Dinamo Bucuresti. Sent off: Denis Alibec (Farul Constanta) 45+3'.

How the call on Dinamo Bucuresti v Farul Constanta has moved

First published on 5 Sep at 50% / 27% / 23% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 17 updates, it read 48% / 27% / 25%: the biggest move is Dinamo Bucuresti's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. Dinamo Bucuresti win48%▼ −2
  2. Draw27%=
  3. Farul Constanta win25%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.