9 August 2026, 15:00 UTC

Wolfsberger AC vs Red Bull Salzburg Bundesliga prediction & result

Lavanttal-Arena, Wolfsberg
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Wolfsberger AC 1-1 Red Bull Salzburg.

Before kick-off the model made it 49% Wolfsberger AC, 23% draw, 28% Red Bull Salzburg — fair odds of 2.04, 4.35 and 3.57.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Wolfsberger AC at 49%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Wolfsberger AC5%Draw91%Red Bull Salzburg4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

7'
Aboubacar Camara
46'
🔁M. Kjaergaardout: A. Barry
Cheick Mamadou Diabate
52'
57'
🔁A. Camaraout: D. Redzic
57'
🔁T. Drexlerout: V. Zabransky
🔁D. Avdijajout: O. Mamageishvili
64'
🔁M. Schabauerout: S. Karamoko
64'
⚽G. Vrioniassist: F. Wohlmuth
67'
68'
🔁S. Kitanoout: Y. Vertessen
Marco Sulzner
69'
🔁A. Schwarzout: R. Renner
75'
🔁E. Agyemanout: T. Schriebl
75'
Thorsten Schriebl
78'
79'
⚽Y. Vertessenassist: K. Boma
83'
🔁K. Konateout: L. Morgalla
🔁G. Vrioniout: L. Hassler
85'
René Renner
90+6'
Otar Mamageishvili
90+6'

Match stats — Wolfsberger AC vs Red Bull Salzburg

33%Possession67%
11Shots18
1On target10
4Corners8
0.93xG3.52

Goals against chances

Wolfsberger AC1 from 0.93 xGabout what the chances were worth
Red Bull Salzburg1 from 3.52 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Wolfsberger AC 3-4-2-1
  • 12N. PolsterG
  • 6R. BehounekD
  • 15C. DiabateD
  • 37N. WimmerD
  • 31F. WohlmuthM
  • 30M. SulznerM
  • 34E. AgyemanM
  • 11A. SchwarzM
  • 17M. Schabauer
  • 10D. AvdijajF
  • 9G. VrioniF
Substitutes
  • 1L. GutlbauerG
  • 7L. HasslerM
  • 35M. KitzD
  • 8S. PiesingerM
  • 32M. PinkF
  • 77R. RennerD
  • 20T. SchrieblM
  • 19O. MamageishviliM
  • 49S. KaramokoF
Coach: Thomas Silberberger
Red Bull Salzburg 4-2-3-1
  • 52C. ZawieschitzkyG
  • 18N. VeratschnigD
  • 44K. BomaD
  • 21T. DrexlerD
  • 13F. KratzigD
  • 15B. MazurekM
  • 14M. KjaergaardM
  • 8S. KitanoM
  • 19K. KonateM
  • 33A. Camara
  • 9H. TabakovicF
Substitutes
  • 1C. FruchtlG
  • 31D. SchmidD
  • 39L. MorgallaD
  • 11Y. VertessenF
  • 32A. BarryM
  • 23D. RedzicF
  • 4J. MellbergD
  • 47V. ZabranskyD
  • 29Y. Sulbaran
Coach: Danny Rohl

Form going into Wolfsberger AC vs Red Bull Salzburg

Wolfsberger AC

All competitions we cover

  • W3-0Austria Vienna2 August 2026

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0Pafos6 August 2026
  • W1-0TSV Hartberg1 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Austria Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Wolfsberger AC12138826-186
2Red Bull Salzburg12930339+2430

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Wolfsberger AC vs Red Bull Salzburg

  • 1 February 2026Wolfsberger AC 0–1 Red Bull SalzburgCup
  • 14 December 2025Red Bull Salzburg 2–1 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
  • 13 September 2025Wolfsberger AC 3–1 Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
  • 27 April 2025Wolfsberger AC 2–1 Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
  • 23 April 2025Red Bull Salzburg 1–1 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga

Leading scorers: Wolfsberger AC and Red Bull Salzburg

Wolfsberger AC

GoalsAssists

  • G. Vrioni40

Red Bull Salzburg

GoalsAssists

  • H. Tabaković80
  • K. Konaté40
  • Y. Vertessen33

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Wolfsberger AC and Red Bull Salzburg drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Wolfsberger AC at 49% and given a draw 23%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: G. Vrioni 67' for Wolfsberger AC, Y. Vertessen 79' for Red Bull Salzburg. On expected goals it finished 0.93–3.52.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.