9 August 2026, 14:00 UTC

Zenit vs Rodina Moskva Premier League prediction & result

Gazprom Arena, Saint Petersburg
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Zenit 1-2 Rodina Moskva.

Before kick-off the model made it 77% Zenit, 13% draw, 10% Rodina Moskva — fair odds of 1.30, 7.69 and 10.00.

Most likely scoreline: 3-1.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Zenit at 77%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Zenit1%Draw9%Rodina Moskva90%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽M. Glushenkov
23'
Wendel
30'
41'
Dmitriy Tananeev
46'
🔁M. Abdusalamovout: S. Bakaev
46'
🔁I. Timoshenkoout: A. Gharibyan
49'
🔁R. Fishchenkoout: L. Musaev
59'
⚽A. Gharibyanassist: S. Bessmertniy
63'
•Artem Maksimenko
🔁Felipe Augustoout: Luiz Henrique
63'
65'
⚽A. Gharibyanassist: S. Bakaev
74'
🔁I. Pozoout: A. Egorychev
🔁Gustavo Mantuanout: A. Erokhin
77'
🔁W. Barriosout: Douglas Santos
77'
84'
🔁A. Maksimenkoout: B. Mansilla
🔁Ninoout: N. Alip
87'
🔁Wendelout: K. Andrade
87'

Match stats — Zenit vs Rodina Moskva

66%Possession34%
21Shots7
6On target3
11Corners3

Line-ups

Zenit 4-2-3-1
  • 16D. AdamovG
  • 31Gustavo MantuanD
  • 78I. DiveevD
  • 33NinoD
  • 66R. VegaD
  • 5W. BarriosM
  • 8WendelM
  • 10M. GlushenkovM
  • 9Felipe AugustoM
  • 20PedrinhoM
  • 7A. SobolevF
Substitutes
  • 71D. OdoevskiyG
  • 57B. MoskvichevG
  • 21A. ErokhinM
  • 3Douglas SantosD
  • 6V. DrkusicD
  • 17A. MostovoyM
  • 28N. AlipD
  • 11Luiz HenriqueM
  • 15V. KaravaevD
Coach: Sergey Semak
Rodina Moskva 4-4-2
  • 13S. VolkovG
  • 80S. BessmertniyD
  • 19D. TananeevD
  • 26A. MeshchaninovD
  • 3L. GoglichidzeD
  • 18M. AbdusalamovM
  • 6R. FishchenkoM
  • 8I. PozoM
  • 9A. MaksimenkoM
  • 99I. TimoshenkoF
  • 10Y. ReynaF
Substitutes
  • 71I. SvinovG
  • 1S. AydarovG
  • 72A. GordyushenkoM
  • 11B. MansillaF
  • 38L. MusaevM
  • 55M. KrizanD
  • 17S. BakaevM
  • 5A. EgorychevM
  • 95K. CissokoF
Coach: Juan Diaz

Russia Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Zenit1410133215+1731
13Rodina Moskva143381529-1412

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Zenit and Rodina Moskva

Zenit

GoalsAssists

  • M. Glushenkov105
  • A. Sobolev102

Rodina Moskva

GoalsAssists

  • A. Maksimenko31

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.