9 August 2026, 15:00 UTC

Ried vs Rapid Vienna Bundesliga prediction & result

Innviertel Arena, Ried
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Ried 1-2 Rapid Vienna.

Before kick-off the model made it 35% Ried, 24% draw, 41% Rapid Vienna — fair odds of 2.86, 4.17 and 2.44.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Rapid Vienna at 41%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Ried0%Draw5%Rapid Vienna95%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

8'
⚽J. Horn
🔁E. E. Aisowierenout: P. Sissoko
60'
🔁J. Nasraweout: T. Lund-Jensen
60'
66'
🔁Y. Demirout: N. Wurmbrand
66'
🔁P. Dahlout: M. Haidara
67'
🔁T. Adamsenout: M. Tilio
72'
🔁N. Bajliczout: R. Amane
⚽S. Schwabassist: A. Bajic
74'
77'
⚽M. Haidaraassist: N. Hedl
🔁O. Sorgout: M. Rasner
82'
Martin Rasner
86'
86'
Bendegúz Bolla
90+1'
🔁E. Karaout: L. Schaub

Match stats — Ried vs Rapid Vienna

46%Possession54%
18Shots12
9On target3
3Corners4
1.3xG1.63

Goals against chances

Ried1 from 1.30 xGabout what the chances were worth
Rapid Vienna2 from 1.63 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Ried 3-4-1-2
  • 1A. LeitnerG
  • 4L. MalicsekD
  • 28S. ChukwudiD
  • 30O. SteurerD
  • 12A. BajicM
  • 6Y. MaartM
  • 22S. SchwabM
  • 7O. SorgM
  • 10J. NasraweF
  • 47E. E. AisowierenF
  • 11J. RhodesF
Substitutes
  • 77F. WimmerG
  • 25D. KirnbauerD
  • 26J. MayerM
  • 5D. RadonjicD
  • 9P. Sissoko
  • 8M. RasnerM
  • 19T. Lund-JensenM
  • 33A. GoigingerD
Coach: Mario Despotovic
Rapid Vienna 4-2-3-1
  • 1N. HedlG
  • 77B. BollaD
  • 4J. M. SchollerD
  • 6S. Raux-YaoD
  • 38J. HornD
  • 18M. SeidlM
  • 30N. BajliczM
  • 22Y. DemirM
  • 8T. AdamsenM
  • 10P. DahlM
  • 9E. KaraF
Substitutes
  • 25P. GartlerG
  • 21L. SchaubM
  • 55N. CvetkovicD
  • 23J. AuerD
  • 15N. WurmbrandF
  • 29R. AmaneM
  • 7M. TilioF
  • 17T. GulliksenM
  • 43M. HaidaraF
Coach: Johannes Thorup

Form going into Ried vs Rapid Vienna

Ried

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to Austria Lustenau2 August 2026

Rapid Vienna

All competitions we cover

  • W4-1away to Paide6 August 2026
  • W1-0SCR Altach2 August 2026
  • W6-2FC Santa Coloma29 July 2026
  • W3-1away to FC Santa Coloma23 July 2026

What these results say

  • Rapid Vienna won every one of these 4 matches.
  • Rapid Vienna scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Rapid Vienna conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Austria Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Ried124442122-116
1Rapid Vienna121101399+3033

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Ried vs Rapid Vienna

  • 25 May 2026Rapid Vienna 3–0 RiedBundesliga
  • 22 May 2026Ried 2–1 Rapid ViennaBundesliga
  • 31 January 2026Ried 3–0 Rapid ViennaCup
  • 6 December 2025Rapid Vienna 1–2 RiedBundesliga
  • 26 October 2025Ried 0–2 Rapid ViennaBundesliga

Leading scorers: Ried and Rapid Vienna

Ried

GoalsAssists

  • S. Schwab42
  • P. Pomer41
  • I. Kiese Thelin40

Rapid Vienna

GoalsAssists

  • E. Kara71
  • P. Dahl71
  • T. Adamsen55

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Rapid Vienna won 2–1 at Ried. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Rapid Vienna at 41%. The goals: J. Horn 8' for Rapid Vienna, S. Schwab 74' for Ried, M. Haidara 77' for Rapid Vienna. On expected goals it finished 1.30–1.63.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.