Grazer AK vs Austria Lustenau Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Grazer AK 2-1 Austria Lustenau.
Before kick-off the model made it 82% Grazer AK, 12% draw, 6% Austria Lustenau — fair odds of 1.22, 8.33 and 16.67.
Most likely scoreline: 3-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Austrian Bundesliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Grazer AK at 82%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Grazer AK vs Austria Lustenau
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 23Cican StankovićG
- 82Beres OwusuD
- 2Donovan PinesD
- 3Ludwig Vraa-JensenD
- 28AndersonM
- 6Liam HermeshM
- 34Peter MichorlM
- 32Leon KlassenM
- 10Christian LichtenbergerF
- 11Mark GroßeF
- 25Alexander HofleitnerF
- 48Matthias GraggerD
- 7Anthony SmitsF
- 8Tobias KochM
- 1Jakob MeierhoferG
- 72Petar MarkovicD
- 30Christoph HasenhüttlD
- 17Souleyman MandeyM
- 70Nicky Fatayi Brown UgoM
- 9Daniel MadernerF
- 27Domenik SchierlG
- 7Fabian GmeinerD
- 31Matthias MaakD
- 29Niklas PertlwieserD
- 3Danilo SoaresD
- 8Dion KacuriM
- 11Dominik WeixelbraunM
- 20Lord AfrifaM
- 19Sacha DelayeM
- 24Seydou DiarraM
- 14Precious BenjaminF
- 39Antonio VerinacF
- 17Albin GashiF
- 9Lenn JastremskiF
- 30Phillip BohmG
- 26Lukas IbertsbergerD
- 15Chukwu EmmanuelD
- 18Robin VoisineD
- 23Pius GrabherM
- 61Haris IsmailcebiogluM
Form going into Grazer AK vs Austria Lustenau
Grazer AK
All competitions we cover
- L0-3away to Lask Linz31 July 2026
Austria Lustenau
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Ried2 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Austria Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grazer AK | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 10 |
| 8 | Austria Lustenau | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Grazer AK vs Austria Lustenau
- 26 November 2021Grazer AK 0–0 Austria Lustenau2. Liga
- 25 July 2021Austria Lustenau 2–1 Grazer AK2. Liga
- 12 May 2021Grazer AK 2–0 Austria Lustenau2. Liga
- 11 December 2020Austria Lustenau 3–1 Grazer AK2. Liga
- 6 June 2020Grazer AK 1–1 Austria Lustenau2. Liga
Leading scorers: Grazer AK and Austria Lustenau
Grazer AK
GoalsAssists
- A. Hofleitner40
Austria Lustenau
GoalsAssists
- D. Weixelbraun61
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Grazer AK beat Austria Lustenau 2–1. The model had made a win for Grazer AK its most likely outcome, at 82%, so the call held; the score it named was 3–0. The goals: D. Pines 18' for Grazer AK, D. Kacuri 51' for Austria Lustenau, A. Hofleitner 66' for Grazer AK. On expected goals it finished 1.45–0.52.