Wolfsberger AC
vs
Rapid Vienna
Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Wolfsberger AC 0-3 Rapid Vienna.
Before kick-off the model made it 29% Wolfsberger AC, 28% draw, 43% Rapid Vienna — fair odds of 3.45, 3.57 and 2.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Wolfsberger AC 1.16, Rapid Vienna 1.71.
Both teams to score: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%, under 2.5: 45%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published · updated
Model insights: Wolfsberger AC vs Rapid Vienna
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Rapid Vienna at 43% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Wolfsberger AC vs Rapid Vienna
Line-ups
- 1L. GütlbauerG
- 31F. WohlmuthD
- 8S. PiesingerD
- 35Matteo KitzD
- 11A. SchwarzM
- 30M. SulznerM
- 34E. AgyemangM
- 77R. RennerM
- 19O. MamageishviliM
- 36D. FitzM
- 23P. VerhounigF
- 10D. AvdijajM
- 12L. GliklichG
- 7L. HasslerM
- 32M. PinkF
- 17Marco SchabauerM
- 20T. SchrieblM
- 22V. VukojevicF
- 70David ĐurićD
- 18Michael Leon SchweigerM
- 1N. HedlG
- 2Eaden RokaD
- 55N. CvetkovićD
- 6S. Raux-YaoD
- 77B. BollaD
- 18M. SeidlM
- 30N. BajliczM
- 43M. HaïdaraM
- 22Y. DemirM
- 10P. DahlM
- 8T. AdamsenF
- 61F. DemirD
- 25P. GartlerG
- 47Amìn-Elias GröllerD
- 38J. HornD
- 9E. KaraF
- 71C. M'BuyiF
- 21L. SchaubM
- 7M. TilioF
- 15Nikolaus WurmbrandF
Form going into Wolfsberger AC vs Rapid Vienna
Wolfsberger AC
- L1-3Lask Linz1 September 2026
- D0-0away to Grazer AK29 August 2026
- L1-2away to Austria Lustenau15 August 2026
- D1-1Red Bull Salzburg9 August 2026
Rapid Vienna
- L1-5away to Red Bull Salzburg2 September 2026
- W3-1Sturm Graz30 August 2026
- W8-0Grazer AK16 August 2026
- W2-1away to Ried9 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wolfsberger AC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 5 |
| 2 | Rapid Vienna | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | +11 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Wolfsberger AC vs Rapid Vienna
- 12 September 2026Wolfsberger AC 0–3 Rapid ViennaBundesliga
- 21 February 2026Rapid Vienna 2–0 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
- 24 August 2025Wolfsberger AC 1–2 Rapid ViennaBundesliga
- 4 May 2025Rapid Vienna 0–1 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
- 20 April 2025Wolfsberger AC 5–1 Rapid ViennaBundesliga
- 8 February 2025Rapid Vienna 1–3 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
Leading scorers: Wolfsberger AC and Rapid Vienna
Wolfsberger AC
- G. Vrioni4 goals
Rapid Vienna
- T. Adamsen4 goals1 assists
- P. Dahl3 goals
- Y. Demir2 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Expected against actual
Pre-match the model expected 1.16 goals for Wolfsberger AC and 1.71 for Rapid Vienna; the game produced 0 and 3.
Goals
Scorers, in order: Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao 13' (Rapid Vienna), Nenad Cvetković 35' (Rapid Vienna), Petter Nosakhare Dahl 82' (Rapid Vienna).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1151 correct results out of 2437 settled predictions (47%), with 230 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Rapid Vienna the highest probability at 43%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.16 expected goals for Wolfsberger AC against 1.71 for Rapid Vienna. Wolfsberger AC's attack/defence rating is 0.5/1.82 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.78/1.43 for Rapid Vienna.