Regular Season - 6 · 12 September 2026, 15:00 UTC

SCR Altach vs Grazer AK Bundesliga prediction & result

Cashpoint-Arena, Altach
Full time1 – 2

Final score: SCR Altach 1-2 Grazer AK.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% SCR Altach, 30% draw, 29% Grazer AK — fair odds of 2.44, 3.33 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Expected goals: SCR Altach 1.50, Grazer AK 1.09.

Both teams to score: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%, under 2.5: 52%.

Model confidence: Medium.

Published · updated

Model insights: SCR Altach vs Grazer AK

52%
Both teams to score
48%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-1 13%1-0 11%2-1 9%

Has the model earned this number?

It puts SCR Altach at 41% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

SCR Altach0%Draw5%Grazer AK95%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

6'
⚽Yannick Oberleitnerassist: Peter Michorl
⚽Yann massomboassist: Benjamin·Bockle
25'
38'
⚽Alexander Hofleitnerassist: Liam Hermesh
58'
🔁Daniel Madernerout: Mark Große
58'
🔁Liam Hermeshout: Matthias Gragger
🔁Patrick Greilout: Rodney Elongo-Yombo
68'
71'
🔁Christian Lichtenbergerout: Anthony Kevin Smits
Lukas Jäger
73'
79'
🔁Christopher Cvetkoout: Petar Markovic
🔁Ousmane Diawaraout: srdan hristic
80'
🔁Yann massomboout: Nemanja Krstovic
80'
🔁Rassa Rahmaniout: Denizcan Cosgun
80'
90'
Alexander Hofleitner
🔁Vesel Demakuout: Yanis Eisschill
90'

Match stats — SCR Altach vs Grazer AK

62%Possession38%
15Shots8
4On target5
6Corners2

Line-ups

SCR Altach 3-4-3
  • 1D. StojanovicG
  • 27Filip MilojevicD
  • 16R. RahmaniD
  • 17L. JägerD
  • 29N. NiehoffM
  • 6V. DemakuM
  • 8M. BähreM
  • 37B. BöckleM
  • 28Y. MassomboF
  • 10O. DiawaraF
  • 18P. GreilF
Substitutes
  • 31D. AntoschG
  • 21Jakob BrandtnerD
  • 7D. CosgunM
  • 22Y. EisschillM
  • 19S. HrstićF
  • 30E. ScherfG
  • 34A. VonbrulM
  • 32Nemanja KrstovicM
  • 39R. Elongo-YomboF
Coach: O. Zaric
Grazer AK 3-4-3
  • 23C. StankovićG
  • 27Y. OberleitnerD
  • 82B. OwusuD
  • 21M. SollbauerD
  • 28AndersonM
  • 34P. MichorlM
  • 24C. CvetkoM
  • 10C. LichtenbergerM
  • 25A. HofleitnerF
  • 9D. MadernerF
  • 6L. HermeshF
Substitutes
  • 48M. GraggerD
  • 11M. GroßeF
  • 72Petar MarkovicD
  • 1J. MeierhoferG
  • 26C. NichtG
  • 7A. SmitsF
  • 52Julian RumplM
Coach: G. Scheiblehner

Form going into SCR Altach vs Grazer AK

SCR Altach

  • L0-3away to Lask Linz29 August 2026
  • L1-2TSV Hartberg22 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Sturm Graz15 August 2026
  • W3-1WSG Wattens7 August 2026

Grazer AK

  • D0-0Wolfsberger AC29 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Ried21 August 2026
  • L0-8away to Rapid Vienna16 August 2026
  • W2-1Austria Lustenau8 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12SCR Altach6105510-53
7Grazer AK6213414-107

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: SCR Altach vs Grazer AK

  • 12 September 2026SCR Altach 1–2 Grazer AKBundesliga
  • 9 May 2026Grazer AK 2–2 SCR AltachBundesliga
  • 11 April 2026SCR Altach 1–0 Grazer AKBundesliga
  • 1 November 2025Grazer AK 3–1 SCR AltachBundesliga
  • 24 August 2025SCR Altach 1–1 Grazer AKBundesliga
  • 10 May 2025SCR Altach 2–2 Grazer AKBundesliga

Leading scorers: SCR Altach and Grazer AK

SCR Altach

  • Y. Massombo2 goals

Grazer AK

  • A. Hofleitner2 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Expected against actual

Pre-match the model expected 1.50 goals for SCR Altach and 1.09 for Grazer AK; the game produced 1 and 2.

Goals

Scorers, in order: Yannick Oberleitner 6' (Grazer AK), Yann massombo 25' (SCR Altach), Alexander Hofleitner 38' (Grazer AK).

How this was produced

Publicly tracked record so far: 1151 correct results out of 2437 settled predictions (47%), with 230 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.

Full method: how the model works.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives SCR Altach the highest probability at 41%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.5 expected goals for SCR Altach against 1.09 for Grazer AK. SCR Altach's attack/defence rating is 0.59/1.56 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.58/1.56 for Grazer AK.