1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: 1899 Hoffenheim 2-1 VfB Stuttgart.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% 1899 Hoffenheim, 28% draw, 30% VfB Stuttgart — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts 1899 Hoffenheim at 42% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart
Line-ups
- 1O. BaumannG
- 34V. CoufalD
- 5O. KabakD
- 21A. HajdariD
- 39M. RotsD
- 20B. ContéM
- 7L. AvdullahuM
- 18W. BurgerM
- 14A. DaghimM
- 10A. HložekF
- 19T. LemperleF
- 11F. AsllaniF
- 17Nathan De CatM
- 15V. GendreyD
- 2R. HranáčD
- 27A. KramarićF
- 28K. MachidaD
- 9Max MoerstedtF
- 37L. PhilippG
- 8P. WimmerM
- 1F. BredlowG
- 29Finn JeltschD
- 24J. ChabotD
- 3R. HendriksD
- 4J. VagnomanM
- 21G. PrömelM
- 6A. StillerM
- 7M. MittelstädtM
- 9E. DemirovićM
- 10C. FührichM
- 17D. PejčinovićF
- 16A. KarazorM
- 18J. LewelingF
- 44L. SauerF
- 47Y. SpaltD
- 20L. StergiouD
- 26D. UndavF
- 11B. El KhannoussM
- 33M. FunkG
- 37Maximilian Tobias HerwerthD
Form going into 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart
1899 Hoffenheim
All competitions we cover
- L2-3Borussia Dortmund5 September 2026
- L2-3away to 1. FC Köln29 August 2026
VfB Stuttgart
All competitions we cover
- W3-1Viking9 September 2026
- W4-11. FC Köln4 September 2026
- L1-5away to Bayern München28 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart
- 2 May 20261899 Hoffenheim 3–3 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
- 20 December 2025VfB Stuttgart 0–0 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
- 23 February 20251899 Hoffenheim 1–1 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
- 6 October 2024VfB Stuttgart 1–1 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
- 16 March 20241899 Hoffenheim 0–3 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
Leading scorers: 1899 Hoffenheim and VfB Stuttgart
1899 Hoffenheim
No player in Bundesliga's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
VfB Stuttgart
GoalsAssists
- E. Demirović30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
1899 Hoffenheim beat VfB Stuttgart 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for 1899 Hoffenheim at 42%. The goals: Adam Hložek 13' for 1899 Hoffenheim, Maximilian Mittelstädt 48' for VfB Stuttgart, Adam Hložek 67' for 1899 Hoffenheim.
How the call on 1899 Hoffenheim v VfB Stuttgart has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 45% / 28% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 42% / 28% / 30%: the biggest move is 1899 Hoffenheim's chance of winning, down 3 points.
- 1899 Hoffenheim win42%▼ −3
- Draw28%=
- VfB Stuttgart win30%▲ +3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.