Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 2 · 1 August 2026, 18:15 UTC

Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze

Exbud Arena, Kielce

The model makes it 36% Korona Kielce, 26% draw, 38% Gornik Zabrze — fair odds of 2.78, 3.85 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

Expected goals: Korona Kielce 1.38, Gornik Zabrze 1.42.

Both teams to score: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%, under 2.5: 47%.

Model confidence: Low.

Model insights

57%
Both teams to score
53%
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-1 12%1-2 8%2-1 8%

Head-to-head: Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze

  • 18 April 2026Gornik Zabrze 1–0 Korona KielceEkstraklasa
  • 18 October 2025Korona Kielce 1–1 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
  • 24 May 2025Gornik Zabrze 1–1 Korona KielceEkstraklasa
  • 1 December 2024Korona Kielce 2–4 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
  • 19 February 2024Gornik Zabrze 3–1 Korona KielceEkstraklasa
  • 12 August 2023Korona Kielce 0–1 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Gornik Zabrze the highest probability at 38%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.38 expected goals for Korona Kielce against 1.42 for Gornik Zabrze. Korona Kielce's attack/defence rating is 0.63/1.21 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.84/1.16 for Gornik Zabrze.