1 August 2026, 18:15 UTC

Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze Ekstraklasa prediction & result

Exbud Arena, Kielce
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Korona Kielce 0-2 Gornik Zabrze.

Before kick-off the model made it 36% Korona Kielce, 26% draw, 38% Gornik Zabrze — fair odds of 2.78, 3.85 and 2.63.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Gornik Zabrze at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Korona Kielce0%Draw4%Gornik Zabrze96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

41'
⚽Peter Federico González Carmonaassist: Jarosław Kubicki
53'
Erik Prekop
🔁Martin Remacleout: Camilo Mena
62'
64'
🔁Erik Janžaout: Ondrej Zmrzly
🔁Michael Ameyawout: Morgan Faßbender
70'
🔁Ondrej Lingrout: Simon Gustafsson
70'
71'
🔁Paulo Bernardoout: Malthe Hojholt
71'
🔁Erik Prekopout: Sondre Liseth
84'
🔁Jarosław Kubickiout: Lukáš Sadílek
84'
🔁Maksym Khlanout: Janis Antiste
Ariel Mosor
88'
🔁Patrik Hellebrandout: Daniel Bak
88'
kamil jakubczyk
89'
90+3'
⚽Peter Federico González Carmonaassist: Sondre Liseth

Match stats — Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze

32%Possession68%
2Shots14
0On target5
6Corners3

Line-ups

Korona Kielce 4-5-1
  • 1X. DziekońskiG
  • 71W. DługoszD
  • 23S. RubežićD
  • 2A. MosórD
  • 6M. PięczekD
  • 32O. LingrM
  • 35Kamil JakubczykM
  • 8M. RemacleM
  • 18P. HellebrandM
  • 19M. AmeyawM
  • 14M. StępińskiF
Substitutes
  • 67N. BarczakD
  • 44K. SotiriouD
  • 24B. SmolarczykD
  • 10NonoM
  • 30C. MenaM
  • 11K. MatuszewskiD
  • 87R. MamlaG
  • 99Daniel BakF
  • 21K. CiszekD
Coach: J. Zielinski
Gornik Zabrze 4-3-3
  • 1P. SchulzeG
  • 61M. SáčekD
  • 26R. JanickiD
  • 20Josema SánchezD
  • 64E. JanžaD
  • 82K. UrbańskiM
  • 14J. KubickiM
  • 8Paulo BernardoM
  • 19PeterF
  • 11E. PrekopF
  • 33M. KhlanF
Substitutes
  • 66M. DietzD
  • 28B. DonioM
  • 6M. HøjholtM
  • 7Y. Ikia DimiM
  • 29W. KaniaG
  • 23S. LisethF
  • 99T. LoskaG
  • 18L. SadílekM
  • 24K. SemikM
Coach: M. Gašparík

Form going into Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze

Korona Kielce

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1away to Jagiellonia25 July 2026

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1Fenerbahçe29 July 2026
  • W2-1Slask Wroclaw25 July 2026
  • L0-1away to Fenerbahçe21 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Korona Kielce145361421-718
2Gornik Zabrze149412312+1131

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze

  • 18 April 2026Gornik Zabrze 1–0 Korona KielceEkstraklasa
  • 18 October 2025Korona Kielce 1–1 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
  • 24 May 2025Gornik Zabrze 1–1 Korona KielceEkstraklasa
  • 1 December 2024Korona Kielce 2–4 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
  • 19 February 2024Gornik Zabrze 3–1 Korona KielceEkstraklasa

Leading scorers: Korona Kielce and Gornik Zabrze

Korona Kielce

GoalsAssists

  • M. Stępiński60

Gornik Zabrze

GoalsAssists

  • K. Urbański51

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.