29 August 2026, 15:30 UTC

Wisla Krakow vs Wieczysta Kraków Ekstraklasa prediction & result

Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Wisla Krakow 2-0 Wieczysta Kraków.

Before kick-off the model made it 55% Wisla Krakow, 22% draw, 23% Wieczysta Kraków — fair odds of 1.82, 4.55 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Wisla Krakow at 55% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 691 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 53.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Wisla Krakow99%Draw1%Wieczysta Kraków0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Marko Božić
7'
Kacper Duda
29'
⚽J. Sanchezassist: J. Ertlthaler
54'
🔁E. Youanout: M. Kuziemka
58'
🔁K. Dudaout: A. Rodado
58'
63'
🔁K. Pestkaout: M. Vojtko
63'
🔁C. Lungoyiout: Miki Villar
🔁M. Bozicout: R. Mikulec
73'
🔁J. Sanchezout: J. Guillemenot
73'
75'
🔁K. Filaout: K. Dankowski
75'
🔁L. Semedoout: P. Pusic
80'
🔁L. Piazonout: B. Bialek
⚽J. Guillemenotassist: R. Mikulec
80'

Match stats — Wisla Krakow vs Wieczysta Kraków

40%Possession60%
11Shots15
7On target4
4Corners4
1.64xG1.38

Goals against chances

Wisla Krakow2 from 1.64 xGabout what the chances were worth
Wieczysta Kraków0 from 1.38 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Wisla Krakow 4-2-3-1
  • 1M. LubikG
  • 34R. GigerD
  • 6A. UrygaD
  • 29D. GrujcicD
  • 52J. KrzyzanowskiD
  • 41K. DudaM
  • 12J. IgbekemeM
  • 27E. YouanM
  • 7J. ErtlthalerM
  • 17M. BozicM
  • 11J. SanchezF
Substitutes
  • 28P. LetkiewiczG
  • 97W. BiedrzyckiD
  • 4R. MikulecD
  • 13M. MaisonneuveD
  • 50M. KutwaD
  • 8M. CarboM
  • 32O. PlawinskiM
  • 21J. GuillemenotF
  • 51M. KuziemkaM
Coach: Mariusz Jop
Wieczysta Kraków 4-3-3
  • 26N. CavlinaG
  • 4K. FilaD
  • 24M. WieteskaD
  • 16A. MilicD
  • 33K. PestkaD
  • 10T. ChristensenM
  • 20M. MaigaardM
  • 12L. PiazonM
  • 7L. SemedoF
  • 9E. KoulourisF
  • 88C. LungoyiF
Substitutes
  • 1A. MikulkoG
  • 17K. DankowskiD
  • 27M. VojtkoD
  • 55D. DujmovicD
  • 15A. DjermanovicD
  • 70P. PusicM
  • 8B. LedermanM
  • 97T. MrasM
  • 11N. KnezevicM
Coach: Zeljko Kopic

Form going into Wisla Krakow vs Wieczysta Kraków

Wisla Krakow

  • D2-2away to Pogon Szczecin23 August 2026

Wieczysta Kraków

  • L2-3away to Cracovia Krakow21 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Wisla Krakow95221712+517
17Wieczysta Kraków81251117-65

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Wisla Krakow vs Wieczysta Kraków

  • 20 February 2026Wisla Krakow 1–1 Wieczysta KrakówI Liga
  • 2 October 2025Wieczysta Kraków 1–1 Wisla KrakowI Liga

Leading scorers: Wisla Krakow and Wieczysta Kraków

Wisla Krakow

  • Ángel Rodado4 goals1 assist

Wieczysta Kraków

  • T. Christensen3 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.