Wisla Krakow
vs
Wieczysta Kraków
Ekstraklasa prediction
The model makes it 80% Wisla Krakow, 11% draw, 9% Wieczysta Kraków — fair odds of 1.25, 9.09 and 11.11. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 3-1 (8%).
Expected goals: Wisla Krakow 3.60, Wieczysta Kraków 1.26.
Both teams to score: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 86%, under 2.5: 14%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Wisla Krakow
- W2-1Wisla Plock7 August 2026
- L3-4away to Piast Gliwice1 August 2026
- W2-1GKS Katowice26 July 2026
Wieczysta Kraków
- L1-2Lech Poznan1 August 2026
- L1-2away to Radomiak Radom24 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wisla Krakow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 6 |
| 18 | Wieczysta Kraków | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: Wisla Krakow vs Wieczysta Kraków
- 20 February 2026Wisla Krakow 1–1 Wieczysta KrakówI Liga
- 2 October 2025Wieczysta Kraków 1–1 Wisla KrakowI Liga
Leading scorers
Wisla Krakow
- Jordi Sánchez4 goals
- M. Božić2 goals1 assists
- Ángel Rodado1 goals1 assists
Wieczysta Kraków
No league goals recorded yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Wisla Krakow carry a model rating of 6.84 against 6.43 for Wieczysta Kraków. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Wisla Krakow W-L-W; Wieczysta Kraków L-L.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 3.60 goals for Wisla Krakow and 1.26 for Wieczysta Kraków. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Wisla Krakow rate 1.26 in attack and 1.38 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Wieczysta Kraków rate 0.65 and 1.51.
That points to 86% for over two and a half goals and 70% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 3-1 (8%), 4-1 (7%), 2-1 (6%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 350 correct results out of 734 settled predictions (48%), with 70 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Wisla Krakow the highest probability at 80%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 3.6 expected goals for Wisla Krakow against 1.26 for Wieczysta Kraków. Wisla Krakow's attack/defence rating is 1.26/1.38 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.65/1.51 for Wieczysta Kraków.