Cukaricki
vs
Vojvodina
Super Liga prediction
The model makes it 49% Cukaricki, 22% draw, 29% Vojvodina — fair odds of 2.04, 4.55 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Cukaricki 2.07, Vojvodina 1.58.
Both teams to score: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%, under 2.5: 29%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Cukaricki
- D2-2away to Mladost Lucani9 August 2026
- W3-0Radnicki 19231 August 2026
- W2-0away to Radnicki NIS25 July 2026
- L0-1IMT Novi Beograd19 July 2026
Vojvodina
- W2-1Radnik Surdulica9 August 2026
- W2-0Macva3 August 2026
- L1-3away to FK Crvena Zvezda26 July 2026
- W4-0OFK Beograd19 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cukaricki | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 2 | Vojvodina | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: Cukaricki vs Vojvodina
- 8 May 2026Vojvodina 1–0 CukarickiSuper Liga
- 14 February 2026Cukaricki 2–3 VojvodinaSuper Liga
- 13 September 2025Vojvodina 3–1 CukarickiSuper Liga
- 8 December 2024Vojvodina 0–1 CukarickiSuper Liga
- 4 August 2024Cukaricki 3–1 VojvodinaSuper Liga
- 8 May 2024Vojvodina 2–3 CukarickiSuper Liga
Leading scorers
Cukaricki
- U. Miladinović3 goals1 assists
Vojvodina
- N. Mulahusejnović3 goals
- L. Ranđelović2 goals4 assists
- P. Sukacev2 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Cukaricki carry a model rating of 6.48 against 6.48 for Vojvodina. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
Recent form (most recent last): Cukaricki L-W-W-D; Vojvodina W-L-W-W.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.07 goals for Cukaricki and 1.58 for Vojvodina. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Cukaricki rate 0.83 in attack and 1.82 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Vojvodina rate 0.62 and 1.32.
That points to 71% for over two and a half goals and 70% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%).
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour Vojvodina, while our numbers lean the other way. The model weights recent expected goals rather than results already banked, so it moves before the table does.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 350 correct results out of 734 settled predictions (48%), with 70 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Cukaricki the highest probability at 49%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.07 expected goals for Cukaricki against 1.58 for Vojvodina. Cukaricki's attack/defence rating is 0.83/1.82 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.62/1.32 for Vojvodina.