11 September 2026, 18:30 UTC

Wisla Krakow vs Jagiellonia Ekstraklasa prediction & result

Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Wisla Krakow 2-0 Jagiellonia.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% Wisla Krakow, 28% draw, 29% Jagiellonia — fair odds of 2.33, 3.57 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Wisla Krakow at 43% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Wisla Krakow99%Draw1%Jagiellonia0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Angel·Rodadoassist: Marko Bozic
14'
45'
🔁Jeremy Agbonifoout: Aleksandar·Cirkovic
59'
🔁Nik Prelecout: Youssef Sylla
59'
🔁Ferslev Anders Klyngeout: Hampus Finndell
🔁Thody Elie Youanout: Frederico Duarte
59'
72'
🔁Norbert Wojtuszekout: Rodrigo Conceição
•Darijo Grujcic
80'
82'
🔁Jesús Imazout: Sergio Lozano
⚽Angel·Rodado
87'
🔁Julius Ertlthalerout: Rafal Mikulec
90'
90+2'
Bernardo Vital

Match stats — Wisla Krakow vs Jagiellonia

41%Possession59%
24Shots6
7On target1
12Corners0

Line-ups

Wisla Krakow 4-2-3-1
  • 1M. ŁubikG
  • 34R. GigerD
  • 6A. UrygaD
  • 29D. GrujčićD
  • 52J. KrzyżanowskiD
  • 41K. DudaM
  • 12J. IgbekemeM
  • 27É. YouanM
  • 7J. ErtlthalerM
  • 17M. BožićM
  • 9Ángel RodadoF
Substitutes
  • 97W. BiedrzyckiD
  • 8Marc CarbóM
  • 10Frederico DuarteM
  • 50M. KutwaD
  • 13M. MaisonneuveD
  • 23Víctor MeseguerM
  • 4R. MikulecD
  • 93Bartosz NeugebauerG
  • 32Oliwier PlawinskiM
Coach: M. Jop
Jagiellonia 4-1-4-1
  • 50S. AbramowiczG
  • 15N. WojtuszekD
  • 5Bernardo VitalD
  • 44A. KonstantopoulosD
  • 20B. WdowikD
  • 6T. RomanczukM
  • 10J. AgbonifoM
  • 11Jesús ImazM
  • 19A. KlyngeM
  • 7K. SzmytM
  • 99N. PrelecF
Substitutes
  • 14H. FinndellM
  • 72K. JóźwiakM
  • 21Sergio LozanoM
  • 23Guilherme Manuel Serrão MontóiaD
  • 1M. PerchelG
  • 2C. PolakD
  • 3Dušan StojinovićD
  • 17Y. SyllaF
  • 32A. ĆirkovićF
Coach: A. Siemieniec

Form going into Wisla Krakow vs Jagiellonia

Wisla Krakow

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to Korona Kielce5 September 2026
  • W2-0Wieczysta Kraków29 August 2026
  • D2-2away to Pogon Szczecin23 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Gornik Zabrze16 August 2026
  • W2-1Wisla Plock7 August 2026

Jagiellonia

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1Slask Wroclaw6 September 2026
  • L1-2away to Lech Poznan3 September 2026
  • W5-2away to Raków Częstochowa30 August 2026
  • W2-1away to FC Iberia 199927 August 2026
  • W4-0FC Iberia 199920 August 2026

What these results say

  • Wisla Krakow scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Wisla Krakow conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for Wisla Krakow.
  • Jagiellonia scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Every one of these 5 matches for Jagiellonia had three goals or more.
  • Jagiellonia won 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Wisla Krakow126331915+421
10Jagiellonia115061417-315

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Wisla Krakow vs Jagiellonia

  • 2 April 2025Jagiellonia 1–0 Wisla KrakowSuper Cup
  • 7 May 2022Wisla Krakow 0–0 JagielloniaEkstraklasa
  • 20 November 2021Jagiellonia 3–1 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa
  • 7 February 2021Wisla Krakow 2–0 JagielloniaEkstraklasa
  • 24 August 2020Jagiellonia 1–1 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa

Leading scorers: Wisla Krakow and Jagiellonia

Wisla Krakow

GoalsAssists

  • Ángel Rodado41

Jagiellonia

No player in Ekstraklasa's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Wisla Krakow beat Jagiellonia 2–0. The model had made a win for Wisla Krakow its most likely outcome, at 43%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Angel·Rodado 14' for Wisla Krakow, Angel·Rodado 87' for Wisla Krakow.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.