West Ham vs Wrexham Championship prediction & result
Final score: West Ham 6-0 Wrexham.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% West Ham, 27% draw, 22% Wrexham — fair odds of 1.96, 3.70 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Championship predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts West Ham at 51% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — West Ham vs Wrexham
Line-ups
- 1M. HermansenG
- 34J. VeltmanD
- 15K. MavropanosD
- 3M. KilmanD
- 5MoratoD
- 20J. BowenM
- 14D. MukasaM
- 7A. EngelsM
- 10M. SolomonM
- 9J. PiroeF
- 11V. CastellanosF
- 2K. Walker-PetersD
- 30O. ScarlesD
- 19PabloF
- 61L. OrfordM
- 17M. KantéM
- 49F. HerrickG
- 58A. GolambeckisD
- 35E. AustböF
- 66J. AjalaF
- 22A. PattersonG
- 26Z. VynerD
- 6J. WorrallD
- 2C. DoyleD
- 30Daniel Edward Peter ImrayM
- 15G. DobsonM
- 8B. WhitemanM
- 3J. EkomiéM
- 17C. O'HareM
- 27L. O'BrienM
- 28S. SmithF
- 10J. WindassM
- 21D. WardG
- 19K. MooreF
- 47R. LongmanM
- 12I. KaboréD
- 37M. JamesM
- 34A. JamesD
- 5D. HyamD
- 33N. BroadheadF
Form going into West Ham vs Wrexham
West Ham
All competitions we cover
- W3-2away to Bolton8 September 2026
- W3-0Derby5 September 2026
- W4-2Wolves1 September 2026
- D1-1away to Watford29 August 2026
- L1-2Charlton22 August 2026
Wrexham
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Burnley8 September 2026
- D0-0away to Swansea5 September 2026
- W3-0away to Millwall2 September 2026
- L1-2Birmingham28 August 2026
- D1-1Watford22 August 2026
What these results say
- West Ham scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- West Ham conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for West Ham had three goals or more.
- Wrexham failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Wrexham scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | West Ham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 32 | 15 | +17 | 22 |
| 17 | Wrexham | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: West Ham and Wrexham
West Ham
GoalsAssists
- J. Bowen65
- K. Mavropanos50
Wrexham
GoalsAssists
- K. Moore51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
West Ham beat Wrexham 6–0. The model had made a win for West Ham its most likely outcome, at 51%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Jarrod Bowen 28' for West Ham, Joel Piroe 37' for West Ham, Konstantinos Mavropanos 48' for West Ham, Taty Castellanos 63' for West Ham, Mohamadou Kante 76' for West Ham, Manor Solomon 82' for West Ham.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.