West Ham vs Wrexham Championship prediction & result
Final score: West Ham 6-0 Wrexham.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% West Ham, 27% draw, 22% Wrexham — fair odds of 1.96, 3.70 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts West Ham at 51% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — West Ham vs Wrexham
Line-ups
- 1M. HermansenG
- 34J. VeltmanD
- 15K. MavropanosD
- 3M. KilmanD
- 5MoratoD
- 20J. BowenM
- 14D. MukasaM
- 7A. EngelsM
- 10M. SolomonM
- 9J. PiroeF
- 11V. CastellanosF
- 2K. Walker-PetersD
- 30O. ScarlesD
- 19PabloF
- 61L. OrfordM
- 17M. KantéM
- 49F. HerrickG
- 58A. GolambeckisD
- 35E. AustböF
- 66J. AjalaF
- 22A. PattersonG
- 26Z. VynerD
- 6J. WorrallD
- 2C. DoyleD
- 30Daniel Edward Peter ImrayM
- 15G. DobsonM
- 8B. WhitemanM
- 3J. EkomiéM
- 17C. O'HareM
- 27L. O'BrienM
- 28S. SmithF
- 10J. WindassM
- 21D. WardG
- 19K. MooreF
- 47R. LongmanM
- 12I. KaboréD
- 37M. JamesM
- 34A. JamesD
- 5D. HyamD
- 33N. BroadheadF
Form going into West Ham vs Wrexham
West Ham
- W3-2away to Bolton8 September 2026
- W3-0Derby5 September 2026
- W4-2Wolves1 September 2026
- D1-1away to Watford29 August 2026
Wrexham
- D1-1Burnley8 September 2026
- D0-0away to Swansea5 September 2026
- W3-0away to Millwall2 September 2026
- L1-2Birmingham28 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 14 |
| 19 | Wrexham | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: West Ham vs Wrexham
- 11 September 2026West Ham 6–0 WrexhamChampionship
Leading scorers: West Ham and Wrexham
West Ham
- J. Bowen4 goals3 assists
- J. Piroe3 goals
- K. Mavropanos3 goals
Wrexham
No player in Championship's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.