Vizela
vs
Feirense
Segunda Liga prediction
Our model says: Vizela 1–0 Feirense
The model makes it 47% Vizela, 31% draw, 22% Feirense — fair odds of 2.13, 3.23 and 4.55.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (16%).
Expected goals: Vizela 1.35, Feirense 0.76.
Both teams to score: 40%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%, under 2.5: 65%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,920 settled matches.
Edge to Vizela: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 12 November 2026. Vizela's rating is built from 44 Liga Portugal 2 matches and Feirense's from 44, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Vizela are 9th on 15 points from 10 games; Feirense are bottom on 5 points from 10 games — Segunda Liga.
- Vizela have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-2 draw away to AVS.
- Feirense have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-0 win at home to Lusitânia Lourosa.
- Last 6 meetings: Vizela 2 wins to 1, 3 draws; the most recent, 12 April 2026, ended Feirense 1–0 Vizela.
More Liga Portugal 2 predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Vizela vs Feirense
Has the model earned this number?
Vizela at 47%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Vizela vs Feirense
Vizela
Segunda Liga
- D2-2away to AVS6 November 2026
- W2-1Academica1 November 2026
- L1-2away to Chaves23 October 2026
- L0-2Sporting CP B10 October 2026
- D2-2away to FC Porto B14 September 2026
Feirense
Segunda Liga
- W1-0Lusitânia Lourosa8 November 2026
- L0-1away to Penafiel2 November 2026
- D0-0Benfica B24 October 2026
- L1-2away to Farense11 October 2026
- L0-1away to Chaves13 September 2026
What these results say
- Vizela conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Vizela failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Vizela scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Feirense failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Feirense had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Segunda Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Vizela | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 18 | Feirense | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Vizela
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 7% today
Feirense
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 72% today
From our Segunda Liga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Vizela vs Feirense
- 12 April 2026Feirense 1–0 VizelaSegunda Liga
- 1 December 2025Vizela 1–1 FeirenseSegunda Liga
- 2 March 2025Vizela 5–0 FeirenseSegunda Liga
- 6 October 2024Feirense 0–0 VizelaSegunda Liga
- 2 May 2021Vizela 1–1 FeirenseSegunda Liga
- 3 January 2021Feirense 1–2 VizelaSegunda Liga
Leading scorers: Vizela and Feirense
Vizela
No player in Segunda Liga's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Feirense
GoalsAssists
- J. Monteiro10
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Vizela a 0.6% chance of the title and Feirense 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Vizela the highest probability at 47%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.35 expected goals for Vizela against 0.76 for Feirense. Vizela's attack/defence rating is 0.6/1.53 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.41/1.38 for Feirense.
How the model reaches 47% for Vizela to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Vizela to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, the level of the two sides takes away 3 points, Vizela's ratings add 5 points and Feirense's ratings add 1 point, which lands on the published 47%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage44%+8
- Both sides at this match's level41%−3
- Vizela's ratings46%+5
- Feirense's ratings47%+1
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Vizela at home · Feirense away
League matches only, Segunda Liga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Segunda Liga matches this season: Vizela 10, Feirense 10.
Vizela score most often in the 16–30 minute window (4 goals); Feirense have let in 2 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Vizela
- at Lusitânia Lourosa29 Nov · Segunda Ligawin 26%
- vs Farense6 Dec · Segunda Ligawin 41%
- at Benfica B14 Dec · Segunda Ligawin 20%
- vs Penafiel20 Dec · Segunda Ligawin 34%
- vs Leixoes27 Dec · Segunda Ligawin 48%
Feirense
- vs Portimonense27 Nov · Segunda Ligawin 36%
- at Leixoes4 Dec · Segunda Ligawin 24%
- vs União de Leiria12 Dec · Segunda Ligawin 32%
- at Torreense20 Dec · Segunda Ligawin 21%
- vs Tondela27 Dec · Segunda Ligawin 31%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.