18 July 2026

Lillestrom vs KFUM Oslo Eliteserien prediction & result

Full time2 – 1

Final score: Lillestrom 2-1 KFUM Oslo.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% Lillestrom, 27% draw, 33% KFUM Oslo — fair odds of 2.50, 3.70 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Lillestrom at 40% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

5'
⚽R. E. Vingeassist: R. Rasch
⚽G. Nyheimassist: Y. Ibrahimaj
6'
45'
Daniel Schneider
61'
Jonas Lange Hjorth
🔁S. Ottesenout: L. Ranger
65'
🔁M. Karlsbakkout: K. Krygard
65'
67'
🔁B. Njieout: B. Kristensen
67'
🔁R. E. Vingeout: D. Hickson
🔁T. Olsenout: F. Gulbrandsen
74'
🔁Y. Paintsilout: G. Nordh
74'
75'
🔁M. Grodemout: T. Haltvik
77'
Bjorn Martin Kristensen
82'
Tore Andre Soras
⚽Felix Vaassist: F. Gulbrandsen
85'
🔁Felix Vaout: E. B. Garnas
88'
88'
🔁S. Sjokvistout: A. Nouri
88'
🔁R. Raschout: M. Najafzadeh

Match stats — Lillestrom vs KFUM Oslo

54%Possession46%
6Shots8
4On target3
5Corners4
1.24xG0.46

Goals against chances

Lillestrom2 from 1.24 xGmore than the chances were worth
KFUM Oslo1 from 0.46 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Lillestrom 4-1-4-1
  • 12P. DahlbergG
  • 3S. OttesenD
  • 28R. GabrielsenD
  • 23U. JenssenD
  • 11F. ElkaerD
  • 29Y. IbrahimajM
  • 26Y. PaintsilM
  • 8M. KarlsbakkM
  • 14G. NyheimM
  • 20Felix VaM
  • 10T. OlsenF
Substitutes
  • 1S. HagerupG
  • 4E. B. GarnasD
  • 5S. FossD
  • 2L. RangerD
  • 6H. WoxenM
  • 9K. ArierhiF
  • 77F. GulbrandsenF
  • 18K. KrygardM
  • 15G. NordhF
Coach: Hans Odegaard
KFUM Oslo 3-4-3
  • 1E. OdegaardG
  • 2D. SchneiderD
  • 13B. SkaretD
  • 19E. SaunesD
  • 21S. SjokvistM
  • 7R. RaschM
  • 27T. SorasM
  • 16J. HjorthM
  • 18R. E. VingeF
  • 28M. GrodemF
  • 10B. NjieF
Substitutes
  • 25H. JenssenG
  • 33A. NouriD
  • 17T. HaltvikM
  • 22B. KristensenF
  • 26J. Prent-EckboD
  • 20M. NajafzadehM
  • 42D. HicksonF
  • 4M. NjieD
  • 30M. VuckovicM
Coach: Thomas Holm

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Lillestrom2010282826+232
12KFUM Oslo2064102234-1222

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Lillestrom vs KFUM Oslo

  • 18 July 2026Lillestrom 2–1 KFUM OsloEliteserien
  • 7 February 2026Lillestrom 7–2 KFUM OsloFriendlies Clubs
  • 25 June 2025Lillestrom 2–0 KFUM OsloNM Cupen
  • 28 February 2025Lillestrom 0–5 KFUM OsloFriendlies Clubs
  • 30 August 2024KFUM Oslo 2–0 LillestromEliteserien
  • 27 June 2024Lillestrom 2–1 KFUM OsloEliteserien

Leading scorers: Lillestrom and KFUM Oslo

Lillestrom

  • Vá5 goals5 assists

KFUM Oslo

No player in Eliteserien's leading scorers — 22 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.