18 July 2026

Atletico San Luis vs Cruz Azul Liga MX prediction & result

Full time2 – 3

Final score: Atletico San Luis 2-3 Cruz Azul.

Before kick-off the model made it 26% Atletico San Luis, 24% draw, 50% Cruz Azul — fair odds of 3.85, 4.17 and 2.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Cruz Azul at 50% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Sergio
14'
33'
Carlos Rodríguez
⚽S. Salles-Lamonge
46'
⚽R. Llorenteassist: L. Flores
50'
56'
🔁A. Palavecinoout: N. Ibanez
56'
🔁C. Ebereout: G. Fernandez
56'
🔁O. Camposout: L. Romero
60'
•José Paradela
63'
⚽G. Fernandez (pen)
🔁L. Floresout: R. Najera
71'
Robson Bambu
75'
🔁D. Rodriguezout: M. Garcia
76'
🔁Lucas Estevesout: A. Duarte
77'
77'
🔁E. Liraout: A. Montano
81'
⚽J. Marquezassist: L. Romero
87'
🔁J. Paradelaout: A. Garcia
🔁R. Llorenteout: S. Munoz
88'
90'
⚽J. Marquezassist: C. Rodriguez

Match stats — Atletico San Luis vs Cruz Azul

46%Possession54%
12Shots20
5On target10
4Corners4
1.25xG3.14

Goals against chances

Atletico San Luis2 from 1.25 xGmore than the chances were worth
Cruz Azul3 from 3.14 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Atletico San Luis 3-4-2-1
  • 1A. SanchezG
  • 3Robson BambuD
  • 31E. AguilaD
  • 18A. CruzD
  • 2R. TorresM
  • 21O. MaciasM
  • 10S. Salles-LamongeM
  • 16Lucas EstevesM
  • 11D. RodriguezF
  • 22R. Llorente
  • 20L. FloresF
Substitutes
  • 25M. G. LajudG
  • 19S. MunozF
  • 8R. NajeraM
  • 26S. PerezM
  • 17A. DuarteF
  • 5R. MerazM
  • 30B. GalindoD
  • 188L. Carrillo
  • 14M. GarciaM
Coach: Raul Chabrand
Cruz Azul 4-2-3-1
  • 23K. MierG
  • 16J. MarquezD
  • 4W. DittaD
  • 33G. PioviD
  • 3O. CamposD
  • 6E. LiraM
  • 8A. PalavecinoM
  • 20J. ParadelaM
  • 19C. RodriguezM
  • 29C. RotondiM
  • 11C. EbereF
Substitutes
  • 1A. GudinoG
  • 7N. IbanezF
  • 5J. OrozcoD
  • 55R. GonzalezM
  • 21G. FernandezF
  • 17A. GarciaM
  • 18L. RomeroF
  • 12A. MontesD
  • 10A. MontanoM
Coach: Joel Huiqui

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Atletico San Luis145451922-319
2Cruz Azul148243223+926

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Atletico San Luis vs Cruz Azul

  • 7 March 2026Cruz Azul 3–0 Atletico San LuisLiga MX
  • 12 August 2025Atletico San Luis 1–2 Cruz AzulLiga MX
  • 16 March 2025Cruz Azul 3–0 Atletico San LuisLiga MX
  • 18 September 2024Atletico San Luis 3–1 Cruz AzulLiga MX
  • 11 February 2024Cruz Azul 3–0 Atletico San LuisLiga MX

The full Atletico San Luis vs Cruz Azul record →

Leading scorers: Atletico San Luis and Cruz Azul

Atletico San Luis

No player in Liga MX's leading scorers — 19 league goals as a side.

Cruz Azul

GoalsAssists

  • N. Ibáñez52
  • G. Fernández51

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.