18 July 2026

Ham-Kam vs Tromso Eliteserien prediction & result

Full time1 – 4

Final score: Ham-Kam 1-4 Tromso.

Before kick-off the model made it 30% Ham-Kam, 26% draw, 44% Tromso — fair odds of 3.33, 3.85 and 2.27. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Tromso at 44% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

28'
⚽H. Larsenassist: T. Nyhammer
47'
⚽J. Hjerto-Dahlassist: A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd
52'
⚽R. Jenssenassist: H. Larsen
🔁D. Benjaminout: H. Udahl
58'
🔁A. Trondsenout: W. Osnes-Ringen
58'
⚽M. Niangassist: D. Benjamin
58'
🔁H. Opsahlout: F. Sjolstad
59'
70'
🔁H. Larsenout: D. Braut
🔁V. Jonssonout: S. Nilsen
78'
🔁L. Maresout: M. Johnsgard
78'
78'
🔁R. Jenssenout: L. O. Larsen
87'
🔁L. Cornicout: I. Dahlqvist
87'
🔁T. Nyhammerout: Ieltsin Camoes
90'
⚽Ieltsin Camoesassist: A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd

Match stats — Ham-Kam vs Tromso

37%Possession63%
6Shots23
2On target7
1Corners5
0.8xG1.9

Goals against chances

Ham-Kam1 from 0.80 xGabout what the chances were worth
Tromso4 from 1.90 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Ham-Kam 5-3-2
  • 12M. SandbergG
  • 7V. JonssonD
  • 2M. GjoneD
  • 4H. OpsahlD
  • 3E. Amundsen-DayD
  • 5A. EkerothD
  • 17A. PoturM
  • 14L. MaresM
  • 16A. TrondsenM
  • 29M. NiangF
  • 28D. BenjaminF
Substitutes
  • 13S. OstraatG
  • 22S. NilsenD
  • 18G. SimenstadM
  • 20J. GonstadF
  • 23F. SjolstadD
  • 19H. UdahlF
  • 8M. JohnsgardM
  • 26P. MetcalfeM
  • 6W. Osnes-RingenM
Coach: Thomas Myhre
Tromso 5-3-2
  • 1J. HaugaardG
  • 2L. CornicD
  • 4V. SkjaervikD
  • 21T. GuddalD
  • 30I. VadebuD
  • 29A. Thongla-Iad WarnerydD
  • 5D. EdvardssonM
  • 11R. JenssenM
  • 6J. Hjerto-DahlM
  • 10T. NyhammerF
  • 22H. LarsenF
Substitutes
  • 12O. LauvliG
  • 7L. O. LarsenF
  • 17I. DahlqvistM
  • 9D. BrautF
  • 8J. GrundtM
  • 37S. InnvaerM
  • 3M. TonnessenD
  • 14S. Prestmo
  • 20Ieltsin Camoes
Coach: Jorgen Vik

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Ham-Kam206592741-1423
4Tromso2010553727+1035

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Ham-Kam vs Tromso

  • 18 July 2026Ham-Kam 1–4 TromsoEliteserien
  • 21 September 2025Tromso 1–0 Ham-KamEliteserien
  • 22 June 2025Ham-Kam 1–3 TromsoEliteserien
  • 22 March 2025Tromso 2–0 Ham-KamFriendlies Clubs
  • 3 November 2024Tromso 3–3 Ham-KamEliteserien
  • 7 July 2024Ham-Kam 0–0 TromsoEliteserien

Leading scorers: Ham-Kam and Tromso

Ham-Kam

  • M. Alassane Niang6 goals

Tromso

  • H. Larsen9 goals3 assists
  • J. Hjertø-Dahl7 goals2 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.