18 July 2026

Kristiansund BK vs Sarpsborg 08 FF Eliteserien prediction & result

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Final score: Kristiansund BK 0-0 Sarpsborg 08 FF.

Before kick-off the model made it 29% Kristiansund BK, 26% draw, 45% Sarpsborg 08 FF — fair odds of 3.45, 3.85 and 2.22. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Sarpsborg 08 FF at 45% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

27'
Claus Niyukuri
46'
🔁C. Niyukuriout: E. Wichne
46'
🔁N. Williamsout: A. Sher
57'
Bjorn Utvik
Mustapha Isah
61'
🔁H. Brusethout: N. Odegard
62'
Julius Mar Juliusson
63'
🔁J. Isaksenout: F. Flex
70'
🔁M. Isahout: A. Ronning
70'
80'
🔁V. E. Halvorsenout: O. Skarsem
80'
🔁A. Nibeout: J. Berget
🔁S. Skeideout: H. Magnusson
82'
🔁L. Alvheimout: H. Haugen
82'
90+4'
🔁A. Hiimout: M. Lode

Match stats — Kristiansund BK vs Sarpsborg 08 FF

44%Possession56%
11Shots10
2On target2
4Corners8
0.71xG0.97

Goals against chances

Kristiansund BK0 from 0.71 xGless than the chances were worth
Sarpsborg 08 FF0 from 0.97 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Kristiansund BK 4-4-2
  • 12A. SaetherG
  • 13A. MunksgaardD
  • 4J. JuliussonD
  • 5D. UlvestadD
  • 6J. IsaksenD
  • 10H. BrusethM
  • 14S. SkeideM
  • 20W. IgorM
  • 9S. KilenM
  • 7M. IsahF
  • 19L. AlvheimF
Substitutes
  • 1M. LansingG
  • 23T. SvendsenM
  • 77H. MagnussonM
  • 22H. HaugenD
  • 17M. WilliamsenD
  • 8N. OdegardM
  • 2A. BorsetD
  • 3F. FlexD
  • 27A. RonningF
Coach: Amund Skiri
Sarpsborg 08 FF 4-4-2
  • 87L. OyG
  • 12C. NiyukuriD
  • 4B. UtvikD
  • 5M. OdegaardD
  • 21A. HiimD
  • 10S. SorliM
  • 22V. E. HalvorsenM
  • 8S. ChristiansenM
  • 33A. NibeM
  • 11D. KarlsbakkF
  • 17N. WilliamsF
Substitutes
  • 13C. ErikssonG
  • 32E. WichneD
  • 77O. SkarsemM
  • 14J. BergetF
  • 2M. LodeD
  • 6A. SherM
  • 7Camil MmaeeM
  • 18B. GueyeM
  • 50M. M. EidalD
Coach: Even Sel

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Kristiansund BK2054112037-1719
9Sarpsborg 08 FF206772326-325

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Kristiansund BK vs Sarpsborg 08 FF

  • 18 July 2026Kristiansund BK 0–0 Sarpsborg 08 FFEliteserien
  • 25 February 2026Kristiansund BK 0–1 Sarpsborg 08 FFFriendlies Clubs
  • 25 August 2025Sarpsborg 08 FF 0–1 Kristiansund BKEliteserien
  • 13 July 2025Kristiansund BK 0–0 Sarpsborg 08 FFEliteserien
  • 15 September 2024Sarpsborg 08 FF 0–2 Kristiansund BKEliteserien
  • 2 June 2024Kristiansund BK 3–1 Sarpsborg 08 FFEliteserien

Leading scorers: Kristiansund BK and Sarpsborg 08 FF

Kristiansund BK

  • L. Alvheim10 goals

Sarpsborg 08 FF

  • D. Karlsbakk6 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.