Viking vs Aalesund Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Viking 2-1 Aalesund.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Viking, 28% draw, 28% Aalesund — fair odds of 2.27, 3.57 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Viking at 44%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Viking vs Aalesund
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 30L. BelkoG
- 2H. J. HaugenD
- 6G. StensnessD
- 27J. DalandD
- 24V. AuklendD
- 8J. BellM
- 10Z. TripicM
- 29T. MoiM
- 7K. AskildsenM
- 19A. CosicM
- 20P. ChristiansenF
- 1A. OstboG
- 3V. VevatneD
- 5H. HeggheimD
- 16R. AlteM
- 33J. HansenM
- 15O. VistedM
- 26S. Kvia-EgeskogM
- 23N. FuglestadF
- 11R. PostemaF
- 1L. PodlechG
- 7K. NessoD
- 2M. AndresenD
- 28D. MbackeD
- 3O. GudmundssonD
- 14U. CharlesD
- 21M. Christensen
- 18E. HagenM
- 6H. Hammer
- 27M. ReedF
- 15E. OsenbrochF
- 26T. LarsenG
- 41P. E. StorasG
- 25U. Syversen
- 4S. HaramD
- 16J. Orsahl
- 11D. JohannssonM
- 22E. EngqvistD
- 17E. MyrlidF
Form going into Viking vs Aalesund
Viking
All competitions we cover
- W3-1Dinamo Zagreb26 August 2026
- D2-2away to Dinamo Zagreb18 August 2026
- L1-2away to Rosenborg14 August 2026
- W2-1Sarpsborg 08 FF8 August 2026
- W3-0away to Start1 August 2026
Aalesund
All competitions we cover
- D5-5Valerenga16 August 2026
- D1-1away to Ham-Kam9 August 2026
- L2-6Tromso2 August 2026
- D1-1Viking26 July 2026
What these results say
- Viking scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Viking had three goals or more.
- Viking conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Aalesund did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Aalesund scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Aalesund conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 26 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 69 | 27 | +42 | 62 |
| 15 | Aalesund | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 24 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Viking vs Aalesund
- 26 July 2026Aalesund 1–1 VikingEliteserien
- 18 March 2026Viking 1–2 AalesundNM Cupen
- 25 June 2025Aalesund 0–1 VikingNM Cupen
- 26 November 2023Aalesund 0–4 VikingEliteserien
- 24 July 2023Viking 3–1 AalesundEliteserien
Leading scorers: Viking and Aalesund
Viking
GoalsAssists
- P. Christiansen187
- S. Kvia-Egeskog93
- H. Heggheim73
Aalesund
GoalsAssists
- M. Christensen116
- H. M. Reed83
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Viking beat Aalesund 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Viking at 44%. The goals: U. Charles 4' for Aalesund, S. Kvia-Egeskog 73' for Viking, S. Kvia-Egeskog 90' for Viking. On expected goals it finished 2.42–0.87.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.