Sandefjord
vs
Brann
Eliteserien prediction
The model makes it 37% Sandefjord, 25% draw, 38% Brann — fair odds of 2.70, 4.00 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Sandefjord 1.56, Brann 1.57.
Both teams to score: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%, under 2.5: 40%.
Model confidence: Low.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Sandefjord
- L0-1KFUM Oslo7 August 2026
- L0-1away to Fredrikstad1 August 2026
- L0-3Bodo/Glimt26 July 2026
- L1-2away to Viking18 July 2026
- D2-2Ham-Kam12 July 2026
Brann
- W3-2Rosenborg2 August 2026
- L2-3Valerenga26 July 2026
- W2-1away to Molde18 July 2026
- W2-1Start12 July 2026
- L1-2Sarpsborg 08 FF29 May 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Sandefjord | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 15 |
| 7 | Brann | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 27 | +6 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
The two sides
Sandefjord carry a model rating of 6.32 against 6.48 for Brann. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Sandefjord D-L-L-L-L; Brann L-W-W-L-W.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.56 goals for Sandefjord and 1.57 for Brann. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Sandefjord rate 0.61 in attack and 1.75 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Brann rate 0.64 and 1.35.
That points to 60% for over two and a half goals and 63% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 400 correct results out of 828 settled predictions (48%), with 78 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Brann the highest probability at 38%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.56 expected goals for Sandefjord against 1.57 for Brann. Sandefjord's attack/defence rating is 0.61/1.75 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.64/1.35 for Brann.