Odense vs FC Midtjylland Superliga prediction & result
Final score: Odense 1-1 FC Midtjylland.
Before kick-off the model made it 28% Odense, 28% draw, 44% FC Midtjylland — fair odds of 3.57, 3.57 and 2.27. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Danish Superliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Midtjylland at 44% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Odense vs FC Midtjylland
Line-ups
- 16V. MyhraG
- 4Julian Andreas PauliD
- 13J. Berthel AskouD
- 29J. GomezD
- 28Magnus Hvitfeldt AndersenM
- 14C. GammelgaardM
- 8R. FalkM
- 19Nikolaj Juul-SandbergM
- 15M. McCoyM
- 9T. KeskinenF
- 17N. GanausF
- 6F. UlvestadM
- 10A. SuhonenM
- 3A. SørensenD
- 24M. RaknebergD
- 22I. OuédraogoM
- 5U. Yttergård JenssenD
- 18A. Ahl-HolmströmF
- 1M. HansenG
- 7J. ArpF
- 1E. ÓlafssonG
- 5R. KristensenD
- 3M. JensenD
- 55V. Bak JensenD
- 8P. BillingM
- 21D. CastilloM
- 19P. BravoM
- 98D. MartínezM
- 10Cho Gue-SungM
- 18S. IheanachoF
- 90F. EtimF
- 9M. RajovićF
- 27S. JohannesenM
- 33Alamara DjabiM
- 17M. UhreF
- 25N. BakkerG
- 30O. EjeheriG
- 38J. EmefileM
- 34N. A. AzizD
Form going into Odense vs FC Midtjylland
Odense
Superliga
- W2-1away to Randers FC13 September 2026
FC Midtjylland
Superliga
- W4-1Brondby14 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Odense | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 14 |
| 1 | FC Midtjylland | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 13 | +11 | 28 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Odense vs FC Midtjylland
- 17 July 2026FC Midtjylland 4–1 OdenseFriendlies Clubs
- 15 February 2026Odense 1–4 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
- 20 July 2025FC Midtjylland 3–3 OdenseSuperliga
- 23 October 2023Odense 1–2 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
- 24 September 2023FC Midtjylland 2–1 OdenseSuperliga
Leading scorers: Odense and FC Midtjylland
Odense
GoalsAssists
- N. Ganaus40
FC Midtjylland
GoalsAssists
- F. Etim63
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Odense and FC Midtjylland drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Midtjylland at 44% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Friday Etim 10' for FC Midtjylland, Noah Ganaus 75' for Odense. Sent off: Abdou Aziz Ndiaye (FC Midtjylland) 44'.
How the call on Odense v FC Midtjylland has moved
First published on 5 Sep at 34% / 29% / 37% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 8 updates, it read 28% / 28% / 44%: the biggest move is FC Midtjylland's chance of winning, up 7 points.
- Odense win28%▼ −6
- Draw28%▼ −1
- FC Midtjylland win44%▲ +7
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.