Karlsruher SC vs Arminia Bielefeld 2. Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Karlsruher SC 2-1 Arminia Bielefeld.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Karlsruher SC, 21% draw, 30% Arminia Bielefeld — fair odds of 2.04, 4.76 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Karlsruher SC at 49%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Karlsruher SC vs Arminia Bielefeld
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Hans Christian BernatG
- 2Sebastian JungD
- 22Christoph KobaldD
- 28Marcel FrankeD
- 3Deniz OfliD
- 26Danyal ZorM
- 36Rafael Pinto PedrosaM
- 10Marvin WanitzekM
- 25Lilian EgloffM
- 9Moritz BroschinskiF
- 11Noel EichingerF
- 15Paul SchollD
- 7Kevin WiethaupM
- 33Viktor BerghD
- 6Santeri VäänänenM
- 23Tim CivejaM
- 30Robin HimmelmannG
- 37Jason PonenteF
- 27John Davis MeyerF
- 19Louey Ben FarhatM
- 1Jonas Thomas KerskenG
- 7Henri KoudossouD
- 5Maximilian BauerD
- 19Maximilian GroßerD
- 29Tim HandwerkerD
- 14Monju MomuluhM
- 8Sam SchreckM
- 21Stefano RussoM
- 10Jannik RocheltM
- 11Joel GrodowskiF
- 38Marius WörlF
- 27Benjamin BoakyeF
- 17Arne SickerD
- 6Marvin MehlemM
- 28Roberts UldriķisF
- 30Isaiah YoungF
- 18Leo OppermannG
- 3Joel FelixD
- 2Felix HagmannD
- 42Till WegenerM
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Karlsruher SC | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 11 |
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Karlsruher SC vs Arminia Bielefeld
- 10 April 2026Karlsruher SC 4–1 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
- 8 November 2025Arminia Bielefeld 4–0 Karlsruher SC2. Bundesliga
- 16 April 2023Karlsruher SC 4–2 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
- 7 October 2022Arminia Bielefeld 1–2 Karlsruher SC2. Bundesliga
- 21 June 2020Karlsruher SC 3–3 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
Leading scorers: Karlsruher SC and Arminia Bielefeld
Karlsruher SC
No player in 2. Bundesliga's leading scorers — 15 league goals as a side.
Arminia Bielefeld
GoalsAssists
- J. Grodowski72
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Karlsruher SC beat Arminia Bielefeld 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Karlsruher SC at 49%. The goals: M. Broschinski 35' for Karlsruher SC, M. Broschinski 78' for Karlsruher SC, M. Mehlem 80' for Arminia Bielefeld. On expected goals it finished 1.42–1.17.