1. FC Magdeburg
vs
Eintracht Braunschweig
The model makes it 57% 1. FC Magdeburg, 23% draw, 20% Eintracht Braunschweig — fair odds of 1.75, 4.35 and 5.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: 1. FC Magdeburg 1.90, Eintracht Braunschweig 1.04.
Both teams to score: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 56%, under 2.5: 44%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Head-to-head: 1. FC Magdeburg vs Eintracht Braunschweig
- 16 January 2026Eintracht Braunschweig 0–3 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
- 9 October 20251. FC Magdeburg 0–6 Eintracht BraunschweigFriendlies Clubs
- 3 August 20251. FC Magdeburg 0–1 Eintracht Braunschweig2. Bundesliga
- 24 January 20251. FC Magdeburg 1–1 Eintracht Braunschweig2. Bundesliga
- 11 August 2024Eintracht Braunschweig 1–3 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
- 28 January 2024Eintracht Braunschweig 1–0 FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
The two sides
1. FC Magdeburg carry a model rating of 6.73 against 6.58 for Eintracht Braunschweig. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.90 goals for 1. FC Magdeburg and 1.04 for Eintracht Braunschweig. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
1. FC Magdeburg rate 0.81 in attack and 1.03 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Eintracht Braunschweig rate 0.72 and 1.24.
That points to 56% for over two and a half goals and 55% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 207 correct results out of 443 settled predictions (47%), with 42 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives 1. FC Magdeburg the highest probability at 57%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.9 expected goals for 1. FC Magdeburg against 1.04 for Eintracht Braunschweig. 1. FC Magdeburg's attack/defence rating is 0.81/1.03 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.72/1.24 for Eintracht Braunschweig.