8 August 2026, 11:00 UTC

1. FC Magdeburg vs Eintracht Braunschweig 2. Bundesliga prediction & result

Avnet-Arena, Magdeburg
Full time1 – 6

Final score: 1. FC Magdeburg 1-6 Eintracht Braunschweig.

Before kick-off the model made it 57% 1. FC Magdeburg, 23% draw, 20% Eintracht Braunschweig — fair odds of 1.75, 4.35 and 5.00.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

1. FC Magdeburg at 57%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

1. FC Magdeburg0%Draw1%Eintracht Braunschweig99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 7 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

15'
⚽A. Opokuassist: M. Marie
21'
⚽J. Urbichassist: M. Marie
26'
⚽J. Urbichassist: S. Di Benedetto
H. Bockhorn
31'
F. Michel
40'
44'
⚽M. Aydin (pen)
🔁M. Kwartengout: P. Nadjombe
46'
⚽M. Zukowskiassist: B. Atik
49'
50'
⚽S. Di Benedettoassist: Y. Sturm
57'
F. Flick
61'
⚽F. Flick
M. Zukowski
62'
L. Hyrylainen
64'
65'
🔁S. Di Benedettoout: J. Gomez
65'
🔁Y. Sturmout: Junior Ze
🔁P. Jaeckelout: T. Muller
66'
🔁F. Michelout: L. Mergner
66'
78'
🔁A. Opokuout: S. Sane
78'
🔁F. Di Michele Sanchezout: N. Katterbach
🔁E. Iyohaout: M. Baars
81'
🔁M. Zukowskiout: R. Tachie
81'
87'
🔁F. Flickout: T. Wagner
L. Mergner
90+4'

Match stats — 1. FC Magdeburg vs Eintracht Braunschweig

47%Possession53%
10Shots24
3On target13
5Corners5
1.24xG3.43

Goals against chances

1. FC Magdeburg1 from 1.24 xGabout what the chances were worth
Eintracht Braunschweig6 from 3.43 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

1. FC Magdeburg 4-3-3
  • 1Dominik ReimannG
  • 7Herbert BockhornD
  • 6Paul JaeckelD
  • 3Anselmo Garcia McNultyD
  • 17Alexander NollenbergerD
  • 10Moritz KwartengM
  • 38Luka HyryläinenM
  • 21Falko MichelM
  • 8Emmanuel IyohaF
  • 22Mateusz ŻukowskiF
  • 23Barış AtikF
Substitutes
  • 28Pierre NadjombeD
  • 5Tobias MüllerD
  • 33Leon MergnerM
  • 29Richmond TachieF
  • 35Magnus BaarsF
  • 30Noah KruthG
  • 4Eldin DžogovićD
  • 14Tony ReitzM
  • 20Kevin MantheyF
Coach: Petrik Sander
Eintracht Braunschweig 4-3-1-2
  • 1Ron Thorben HoffmannG
  • 8Mehmet AydınD
  • 21Kevin EhlersD
  • 29Lukas FrenkertD
  • 22Fabio Di Michele SanchezD
  • 17Aaron OpokuM
  • 10Samuele Di BenedettoM
  • 6Florian FlickM
  • 15Max MarieM
  • 27Jan UrbichF
  • 7Yann SturmF
Substitutes
  • 44Johan GomezF
  • 19Junior ZéM
  • 3Noah KatterbachD
  • 24Sidi SanéF
  • 26Tristan WagnerM
  • 32Benjamin UphoffG
  • 16Louis BreunigD
  • 11Jovan MijatovićF
  • 9Maximilian EntrupF
Coach: Lars Kornetka

2. Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
41. FC Magdeburg116232514+1120
13Eintracht Braunschweig113261618-211

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: 1. FC Magdeburg vs Eintracht Braunschweig

  • 16 January 2026Eintracht Braunschweig 0–3 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
  • 9 October 20251. FC Magdeburg 0–6 Eintracht BraunschweigFriendlies Clubs
  • 3 August 20251. FC Magdeburg 0–1 Eintracht Braunschweig2. Bundesliga
  • 24 January 20251. FC Magdeburg 1–1 Eintracht Braunschweig2. Bundesliga
  • 11 August 2024Eintracht Braunschweig 1–3 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga

Leading scorers: 1. FC Magdeburg and Eintracht Braunschweig

1. FC Magdeburg

GoalsAssists

  • E. Iyoha60
  • M. Żukowski60

Eintracht Braunschweig

GoalsAssists

  • Jan Urbich41

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Eintracht Braunschweig won 6–1 at 1. FC Magdeburg. The model had leaned towards a win for 1. FC Magdeburg at 57% and given a win for Eintracht Braunschweig 20%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: A. Opoku 15' for Eintracht Braunschweig, J. Urbich 21' for Eintracht Braunschweig, J. Urbich 26' for Eintracht Braunschweig, M. Aydin (penalty) 44' for Eintracht Braunschweig, M. Zukowski 49' for 1. FC Magdeburg, S. Di Benedetto 50' for Eintracht Braunschweig, F. Flick 61' for Eintracht Braunschweig. Sent off: H. Bockhorn (1. FC Magdeburg) 31'. On expected goals it finished 1.24–3.43.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.