Krylia Sovetov
vs
Baltika
Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Krylia Sovetov 0-2 Baltika.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% Krylia Sovetov, 30% draw, 38% Baltika — fair odds of 3.13, 3.33 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Krylia Sovetov 1.06, Baltika 1.20.
Both teams to score: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 39%, under 2.5: 61%.
Model confidence: Low.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Krylia Sovetov
- D1-1away to CSKA Moscow1 August 2026
- D0-0away to Dynamo25 July 2026
Baltika
- W2-1Dynamo1 August 2026
- L1-2away to CSKA Moscow24 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Krylia Sovetov | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 | Baltika | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full tables
Leading scorers
Krylia Sovetov
No league goals recorded yet.
Baltika
- B. Gil2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Baltika the highest probability at 38%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.06 expected goals for Krylia Sovetov against 1.2 for Baltika. Krylia Sovetov's attack/defence rating is 0.39/1.94 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.44/1.44 for Baltika.