8 August 2026, 12:30 UTC

Krylia Sovetov vs Baltika Premier League prediction & result

Samara Arena, Samara
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Krylia Sovetov 0-2 Baltika.

Before kick-off the model made it 32% Krylia Sovetov, 30% draw, 38% Baltika — fair odds of 3.13, 3.33 and 2.63.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Baltika at 38%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Krylia Sovetov0%Draw1%Baltika99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

3'
⚽E. Civicassist: A. Mourid
🔁M. Banjacout: M. Kramaric
46'
54'
🔁E. Civicout: F. Moufi
54'
🔁C. Offorout: B. Gil
🔁A. Rahmanovicout: D. Makarov
63'
🔁M. Vityugovout: C. Geoffrey
63'
Denis Makarov
65'
70'
🔁N. Titkovout: V. Pospelov
70'
🔁A. Mendelout: I. Belikov
81'
⚽B. Gilassist: S. Varatynov
🔁N. Rasskazovout: D. Fernandez
82'
🔁I. Oleynikovout: V. Shitov
82'
88'
🔁M. Petrovout: K. Shiltsov

Match stats — Krylia Sovetov vs Baltika

67%Possession33%
6Shots13
2On target5
2Corners5

Line-ups

Krylia Sovetov 4-2-3-1
  • 30S. PesjakovG
  • 22Fernando CostanzaD
  • 5D. OrozD
  • 47S. BozhinD
  • 2K. PecheninD
  • 6S. BabkinM
  • 8M. VityugovM
  • 15N. RasskazovM
  • 7M. BanjacM
  • 19I. OleynikovM
  • 11A. RahmanovicF
Substitutes
  • 80N. KokarevG
  • 39E. FrolovG
  • 10M. KramaricM
  • 72D. FernandezD
  • 26J. MarinM
  • 77D. MakarovM
  • 20K. StolbovM
  • 18I. LepskiiD
  • 78D. Malikov PavlovichM
Coach: Sergey Bulatov
Baltika 5-4-1
  • 1E. LatyshonokG
  • 22M. BeveevD
  • 2S. VaratynovD
  • 21E. AndersonD
  • 4N. GassamaD
  • 77E. CivicD
  • 73M. PetrovM
  • 8A. MendelM
  • 5A. MouridM
  • 11N. TitkovM
  • 9C. OfforF
Substitutes
  • 81I. KukushkinG
  • 44E. LyubakovG
  • 18F. MoufiD
  • 14S. KovacM
  • 7K. ShiltsovM
  • 24L. MouyokoloD
  • 42V. PospelovM
  • 40D. NikitinF
  • 10I. PetrovM
Coach: Andrey Talalaev

Russia Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Krylia Sovetov144641920-118
9Baltika144551715+217

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Krylia Sovetov vs Baltika

  • 22 February 2026Krylia Sovetov 0–1 BaltikaFriendlies Clubs
  • 7 December 2025Baltika 2–0 Krylia SovetovPremier League
  • 9 August 2025Krylia Sovetov 1–1 BaltikaPremier League
  • 20 April 2024Baltika 2–1 Krylya SovetovPremier League
  • 19 September 2023Baltika 1–2 Krylya SovetovCup

Leading scorers: Krylia Sovetov and Baltika

Krylia Sovetov

GoalsAssists

  • A. Rahmanović50

Baltika

GoalsAssists

  • B. Gil51

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.