VfL Osnabrück
vs
Hannover 96
2. Bundesliga prediction
Our model says: VfL Osnabrück 2–1 Hannover 96
The model makes it 40% VfL Osnabrück, 27% draw, 33% Hannover 96 — fair odds of 2.50, 3.70 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: VfL Osnabrück 1.54, Hannover 96 1.36.
Both teams to score: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%, under 2.5: 45%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,958 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. VfL Osnabrück's rating is built from 11 2. Bundesliga matches and Hannover 96's from 45, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 715 matches.
Key facts
- VfL Osnabrück are 14th on 11 points from 11 games; Hannover 96 are 11th on 12 points from 11 games — 2. Bundesliga.
- VfL Osnabrück have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat at home to 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
- Hannover 96 have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-2 draw away to 1. FC Heidenheim.
- Last 5 meetings: Hannover 96 4 wins to 1, 0 draws; the most recent, 25 March 2026, ended Hannover 96 2–0 VfL Osnabrück.
More 2. Bundesliga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: VfL Osnabrück vs Hannover 96
Has the model earned this number?
VfL Osnabrück at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into VfL Osnabrück vs Hannover 96
VfL Osnabrück
2. Bundesliga
- L0-11. FC Kaiserslautern7 November 2026
- L0-2away to VfL Wolfsburg31 October 2026
- W3-0SpVgg Greuther Fürth25 October 2026
- L1-2away to Arminia Bielefeld18 October 2026
- D1-1Dynamo Dresden10 October 2026
Hannover 96
2. Bundesliga
- D2-2away to 1. FC Heidenheim8 November 2026
- W2-1Dynamo Dresden1 November 2026
- L0-2away to Eintracht Braunschweig25 October 2026
- D1-1FC St. Pauli17 October 2026
- L0-3away to 1. FC Magdeburg10 October 2026
What these results say
- VfL Osnabrück failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- VfL Osnabrück conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Hannover 96 conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Hannover 96 failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | VfL Osnabrück | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 | Hannover 96 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
VfL Osnabrück
Chance to finish in the bottom two · 18% today
Hannover 96
Chance to finish in the bottom two · 9% today
From our 2. Bundesliga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: VfL Osnabrück vs Hannover 96
- 25 March 2026Hannover 96 2–0 VfL OsnabrückFriendlies Clubs
- 13 July 2024Hannover 96 4–2 VfL OsnabrückFriendlies Clubs
- 24 February 2024VfL Osnabrück 1–0 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
- 17 September 2023Hannover 96 7–0 VfL Osnabrück2. Bundesliga
- 1 February 2021Hannover 96 1–0 VfL Osnabrück2. Bundesliga
Leading scorers: VfL Osnabrück and Hannover 96
VfL Osnabrück
GoalsAssists
- R. Meißner41
Hannover 96
No player in 2. Bundesliga's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour Hannover 96 (11th, with VfL Osnabrück 14th), while our numbers lean to VfL Osnabrück. VfL Osnabrück rate 0.63 in attack and 1.45 in defence, Hannover 96 0.67 and 1.41 (lower is better in defence): close enough that playing at home is what tips the call.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives VfL Osnabrück the highest probability at 40%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.54 expected goals for VfL Osnabrück against 1.36 for Hannover 96. VfL Osnabrück's attack/defence rating is 0.63/1.45 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.67/1.41 for Hannover 96.
How the model reaches 40% for VfL Osnabrück to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for VfL Osnabrück to win. Then home advantage adds 6 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, VfL Osnabrück's ratings take away 1 point and Hannover 96's ratings take away 1 point, which lands on the published 40%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage43%+6
- Both sides at this match's level42%−1
- VfL Osnabrück's ratings41%−1
- Hannover 96's ratings40%−1
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
VfL Osnabrück at home · Hannover 96 away
League matches only, 2. Bundesliga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
VfL OsnabrückHannover 96
VfL Osnabrück are 14th after 11 2. Bundesliga matches (between 8th and 18th so far); Hannover 96 are 11th after 11 (between 10th and 17th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All 2. Bundesliga matches this season: VfL Osnabrück 11, Hannover 96 11.
VfL Osnabrück score most often in the 76–90 minute window (5 goals); Hannover 96 have let in 6 there.
Hannover 96 score most often in the 46–60 minute window (4 goals); VfL Osnabrück have let in 3 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
VfL Osnabrück
- at Energie Cottbus4 Dec · 2. Bundesligawin 30%
- vs FC St. Pauli13 Dec · 2. Bundesligawin 42%
- at 1. FC Nürnberg18 Dec · 2. Bundesligawin 20%
- vs SV Darmstadt 9817 Jan · 2. Bundesligawin 47%
Hannover 96
- vs Hertha BSC5 Dec · 2. Bundesligawin 30%
- at Holstein Kiel12 Dec · 2. Bundesligawin 32%
- vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern20 Dec · 2. Bundesligawin 35%
- at Arminia Bielefeld15 Jan · 2. Bundesligawin 28%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.