VfL Osnabrück
vs
Eintracht Braunschweig
2. Bundesliga prediction
The model makes it 25% VfL Osnabrück, 22% draw, 53% Eintracht Braunschweig — fair odds of 4.00, 4.55 and 1.89. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: VfL Osnabrück 1.36, Eintracht Braunschweig 2.03.
Both teams to score: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%, under 2.5: 34%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
VfL Osnabrück
- L0-31. FC Magdeburg15 August 2026
- L3-4away to 1. FC Heidenheim8 August 2026
Eintracht Braunschweig
- L0-1VfL Bochum14 August 2026
- W6-1away to 1. FC Magdeburg8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | VfL Osnabrück | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 |
| 5 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Leading scorers
VfL Osnabrück
No league goals recorded yet.
Eintracht Braunschweig
- Jan Urbich2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
VfL Osnabrück carry a model rating of 6.09 against 6.44 for Eintracht Braunschweig. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): VfL Osnabrück L-L; Eintracht Braunschweig W-L.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.36 goals for VfL Osnabrück and 2.03 for Eintracht Braunschweig. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
VfL Osnabrück rate 0.49 in attack and 2.23 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Eintracht Braunschweig rate 0.65 and 1.47.
That points to 66% for over two and a half goals and 65% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 0-2 (7%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 542 correct results out of 1143 settled predictions (47%), with 104 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Eintracht Braunschweig the highest probability at 53%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.36 expected goals for VfL Osnabrück against 2.03 for Eintracht Braunschweig. VfL Osnabrück's attack/defence rating is 0.49/2.23 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.65/1.47 for Eintracht Braunschweig.