Çorum FK
vs
Eyüpspor
Süper Lig prediction
The model makes it 50% Çorum FK, 28% draw, 22% Eyüpspor — fair odds of 2.00, 3.57 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (14%).
Expected goals: Çorum FK 1.44, Eyüpspor 0.86.
Both teams to score: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%, under 2.5: 60%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Çorum FK
- L0-1Kasımpaşa22 August 2026
- D2-2away to Galatasaray14 August 2026
Eyüpspor
- L0-1away to Beşiktaş16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Çorum FK | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Eyüpspor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: Çorum FK vs Eyüpspor
- 9 March 2024Eyüpspor 0–1 Çorum FK1. Lig
- 22 October 2023Çorum FK 2–3 Eyüpspor1. Lig
- 5 November 2020Çorum FK 3–0 EyüpsporTürkiye Kupası
Leading scorers
Çorum FK
- A. Kyziridis1 goals
Eyüpspor
No league goals recorded yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Çorum FK carry a model rating of 6.66 against 6.57 for Eyüpspor. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
Recent form (most recent last): Çorum FK D-L; Eyüpspor L.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.44 goals for Çorum FK and 0.86 for Eyüpspor. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Çorum FK rate 0.70 in attack and 1.04 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Eyüpspor rate 0.59 and 1.09.
That points to 40% for over two and a half goals and 45% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (11%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 542 correct results out of 1143 settled predictions (47%), with 104 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Çorum FK the highest probability at 50%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.44 expected goals for Çorum FK against 0.86 for Eyüpspor. Çorum FK's attack/defence rating is 0.7/1.04 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.59/1.09 for Eyüpspor.