Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles Galaxy Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Vancouver Whitecaps 3-0 Los Angeles Galaxy.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% Vancouver Whitecaps, 26% draw, 24% Los Angeles Galaxy — fair odds of 2.00, 3.85 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Vancouver Whitecaps at 50% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles Galaxy
Line-ups
- 1Y. TakaokaG
- 18E. OcampoD
- 2M. LabordaD
- 33T. BlackmonD
- 28T. JohnsonD
- 8O. LarrazM
- 20A. CubasM
- 25R. GauldM
- 13T. MullerM
- 11E. SabbiM
- 24B. WhiteF
- 32I. BoehmerG
- 29M. GherasimencovD
- 3S. AdekugbeD
- 14B. CaicedoF
- 70R. ModestoM
- 23A. CvetkovicM
- 77Y. DiabyF
- 19R. ElloumiF
- 7C. SabalyF
- 12J. MarcinkowskiG
- 26H. MillerD
- 5J. GlesnesD
- 15J. HaakD
- 3J. AudeD
- 16I. ParenteM
- 17P. RuizM
- 21R. TaylorM
- 8L. SanabriaM
- 11H. LozanoM
- 7K. FuruhashiF
- 1N. MicovicG
- 4M. YoshidaD
- 14J. NelsonD
- 25C. GarcesD
- 20C. RindovD
- 18M. ReusM
- 27E. ThommyM
- 6S. RobertoM
- 76T. ElgersmaM
Form going into Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles Galaxy
Vancouver Whitecaps
- L1-3St. Louis City6 September 2026
- W3-0away to Sporting Kansas City30 August 2026
- W5-0FC Dallas23 August 2026
Los Angeles Galaxy
- W2-1New England Revolution6 September 2026
- L1-3away to San Diego30 August 2026
- D2-2away to CF Montreal22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 53 | 23 | +30 | 46 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 30 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles Galaxy
- 10 September 2026Vancouver Whitecaps 3–0 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
- 3 May 2026Los Angeles Galaxy 1–1 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- 5 July 2025Los Angeles Galaxy 3–0 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- 2 March 2025Vancouver Whitecaps 2–1 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
- 22 September 2024Los Angeles Galaxy 4–2 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- 14 April 2024Vancouver Whitecaps 1–3 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Vancouver Whitecaps and Los Angeles Galaxy
Vancouver Whitecaps
- B. White15 goals2 assists
Los Angeles Galaxy
No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 31 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.