Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles Galaxy Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Vancouver Whitecaps 3-0 Los Angeles Galaxy.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% Vancouver Whitecaps, 26% draw, 24% Los Angeles Galaxy — fair odds of 2.00, 3.85 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Vancouver Whitecaps at 50% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles Galaxy
Line-ups
- 1Y. TakaokaG
- 18E. OcampoD
- 2M. LabordaD
- 33T. BlackmonD
- 28T. JohnsonD
- 8O. LarrazM
- 20A. CubasM
- 25R. GauldM
- 13T. MullerM
- 11E. SabbiM
- 24B. WhiteF
- 32I. BoehmerG
- 29M. GherasimencovD
- 3S. AdekugbeD
- 14B. CaicedoF
- 70R. ModestoM
- 23A. CvetkovicM
- 77Y. DiabyF
- 19R. ElloumiF
- 7C. SabalyF
- 12J. MarcinkowskiG
- 26H. MillerD
- 5J. GlesnesD
- 15J. HaakD
- 3J. AudeD
- 16I. ParenteM
- 17P. RuizM
- 21R. TaylorM
- 8L. SanabriaM
- 11H. LozanoM
- 7K. FuruhashiF
- 1N. MicovicG
- 4M. YoshidaD
- 14J. NelsonD
- 25C. GarcesD
- 20C. RindovD
- 18M. ReusM
- 27E. ThommyM
- 6S. RobertoM
- 76T. ElgersmaM
Form going into Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles Galaxy
Vancouver Whitecaps
All competitions we cover
- L1-3St. Louis City6 September 2026
- W3-0away to Sporting Kansas City30 August 2026
- W5-0FC Dallas23 August 2026
- L0-1Houston Dynamo20 August 2026
- W2-0away to Seattle Sounders17 August 2026
Los Angeles Galaxy
All competitions we cover
- W2-1New England Revolution6 September 2026
- L1-3away to San Diego30 August 2026
- D2-2away to CF Montreal22 August 2026
- W1-0San Jose Earthquakes20 August 2026
- L0-1away to Houston Dynamo16 August 2026
What these results say
- Vancouver Whitecaps scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Los Angeles Galaxy scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Los Angeles Galaxy conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 33 | +34 | 58 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 45 | 54 | -9 | 41 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles Galaxy
- 3 May 2026Los Angeles Galaxy 1–1 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- 5 July 2025Los Angeles Galaxy 3–0 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- 2 March 2025Vancouver Whitecaps 2–1 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
- 22 September 2024Los Angeles Galaxy 4–2 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- 14 April 2024Vancouver Whitecaps 1–3 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Vancouver Whitecaps and Los Angeles Galaxy
Vancouver Whitecaps
GoalsAssists
- B. White182
Los Angeles Galaxy
No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 45 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Vancouver Whitecaps beat Los Angeles Galaxy 3–0. The model had made a win for Vancouver Whitecaps its most likely outcome, at 50%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Brian White 8' for Vancouver Whitecaps, Ryan Gauld 57' for Vancouver Whitecaps, Bruno Caicedo (penalty) 90' for Vancouver Whitecaps.
How the call on Vancouver Whitecaps v Los Angeles Galaxy has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 52% / 26% / 22% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 50% / 26% / 24%: the biggest move is Vancouver Whitecaps's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Vancouver Whitecaps win50%▼ −2
- Draw26%=
- Los Angeles Galaxy win24%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.