5 September 2026, 16:30 UTC

Valladolid vs FC Andorra Segunda División prediction & result

Valladolid
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Valladolid 1-0 FC Andorra.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% Valladolid, 29% draw, 31% FC Andorra — fair odds of 2.50, 3.45 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Valladolid at 40% here. Across 3,056 settled matches (as of 6 October 2026), 1,425 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Mathis Lachuer
-5'
⚽D. Alende (OG)
12'
Carlos Clerc
19'
32'
Efe Akman
39'
Moró Sidibe
46'
🔁M. Vilaout: L. M. Spatz
46'
🔁Lautiout: S. Golubovic
🔁Y. Cabanzonout: I. Garriel
60'
🔁V. Fernandezout: A. Balboa
60'
Julien Ponceau
62'
67'
Marc Bombardo
🔁R. van Duivenout: J. Latasa
68'
71'
🔁S. Molinaout: M. Domenech
79'
🔁H. Solozabalout: J. Sebastian
79'
🔁T. Carriqueout: D. Diaz
🔁R. Martinezout: P. Tomeo
82'
🔁M. Lachuerout: K. de Rooij
82'
87'
Diego Alende

Match stats — Valladolid vs FC Andorra

35%Possession65%
9Shots13
3On target4
2Corners4
0.69xG1.38

Goals against chances

Valladolid1 from 0.69 xGabout what the chances were worth
FC Andorra0 from 1.38 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Valladolid 4-3-1-2
  • 1A. AcevesG
  • 14I. AlejoD
  • 5R. MartinezD
  • 4D. TorresD
  • 18C. ClercD
  • 7L. ChaconM
  • 21J. PonceauM
  • 6M. LachuerM
  • 11Y. CabanzonM
  • 20R. van DuivenF
  • 30V. FernandezF
Substitutes
  • 26L. LavagninoG
  • 27I. GarrielD
  • 3H. Al AminD
  • 2TrilliD
  • 16A. BalboaM
  • 32M. ParriegoM
  • 15P. TomeoD
  • 23T. AbedM
  • 22K. de RooijF
Coach: Fran Escriba
FC Andorra 4-2-3-1
  • 13P. LopezG
  • 17T. CarriqueD
  • 5M. Bombardo PoyatoD
  • 23D. AlendeD
  • 20M. VilaD
  • 8E. AkmanM
  • 14S. MolinaM
  • 11LautiM
  • 6H. SolozabalM
  • 21M. SidibeM
  • 29H. LopezF
Substitutes
  • 25J. OwonoG
  • 3L. M. SpatzD
  • 18A. LopezD
  • 2J. SebastianD
  • 19Quintana NachoM
  • 10M. DomenechM
  • 22D. DiazM
  • 16R. SchneiderM
  • 15J. CanoM
Coach: Carles Manso

Form going into Valladolid vs FC Andorra

Valladolid

  • D1-1away to Cadiz30 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Eibar23 August 2026
  • L0-2away to Mallorca15 August 2026

FC Andorra

  • L0-1Eibar30 August 2026
  • L2-4away to Celta de Vigo II24 August 2026
  • W5-1AD Ceuta FC15 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Valladolid8233811-39
20FC Andorra82151215-37

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Valladolid vs FC Andorra

  • 19 April 2026FC Andorra 1–0 ValladolidSegunda División
  • 13 December 2025Valladolid 0–1 FC AndorraSegunda División
  • 3 March 2024FC Andorra 2–1 ValladolidSegunda División
  • 22 October 2023Valladolid 2–0 FC AndorraSegunda División

Leading scorers: Valladolid and FC Andorra

Valladolid

No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

FC Andorra

  • Jordi Cano4 goals1 assist

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.