Rapid vs Arges Pitesti Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Rapid 3-1 Arges Pitesti.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Rapid, 29% draw, 22% Arges Pitesti — fair odds of 2.04, 3.45 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Romanian Liga I predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Rapid at 49% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Rapid vs Arges Pitesti
Line-ups
- 99B. UngureanuG
- 19R. OneaD
- 18S. SinyanD
- 6L. KramerD
- 27E. AnnanD
- 15C. VulturarM
- 8C. GrameniM
- 29A. DobreM
- 80O. MoruțanM
- 7M. KamaraM
- 9F. StojilkovićF
- 13D. CiobotariuD
- 22V. BubanjaM
- 44C. B. DoumbiaM
- 90T. JamborF
- 42A. KumerD
- 23C. ManeaD
- 66W. L. OuedraogoD
- 10C. PetrilaM
- 55R. PopM
- 77I. NikićG
- 26D. OanceaD
- 2A. TofanD
- 3L. SadriuD
- 23F. BorţaD
- 69O. AdefunyibomiM
- 22V. RaţăM
- 11Y. PîrvuM
- 96S. BalaureM
- 25Tiago GonçalvesM
- 92T. LuvamboF
- 31M. SerbanG
- 6M. TudoseD
- 18Daniel SanduF
- 16I. RădescuM
- 17Ricardo MatosF
- 19C. MicovschiF
- 7M. IdowuF
- 20P. DulceaM
- 34C. CăbuzG
Form going into Rapid vs Arges Pitesti
Rapid
Liga I
- W2-1FC Voluntari12 September 2026
Arges Pitesti
Liga I
- D1-1FC Botosani13 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rapid | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 13 | +8 | 27 |
| 13 | Arges Pitesti | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Rapid vs Arges Pitesti
- 15 May 2026Arges Pitesti 2–2 RapidLiga I
- 13 April 2026Rapid 0–0 Arges PitestiLiga I
- 2 December 2025Arges Pitesti 2–1 RapidCupa României
- 8 November 2025Rapid 2–0 Arges PitestiLiga I
- 11 July 2025Arges Pitesti 0–2 RapidLiga I
Leading scorers: Rapid and Arges Pitesti
Rapid
GoalsAssists
- A. Dobre50
- F. Stojilković41
Arges Pitesti
No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Rapid beat Arges Pitesti 3–1. The model had made a win for Rapid its most likely outcome, at 49%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Constantin Grameni 21' for Rapid, Constantin Grameni 57' for Rapid, Dorinel·Oancea 68' for Arges Pitesti, Andrei Sucu 90+4' for Rapid.
How the call on Rapid v Arges Pitesti has moved
First published on 5 Sep at 47% / 29% / 24% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 12 updates, it read 49% / 29% / 22%: the biggest move is Rapid's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Rapid win49%▲ +2
- Draw29%=
- Arges Pitesti win22%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.