Universitatea Cluj
vs
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Liga I prediction
Our model says: Universitatea Cluj 2–0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
The model makes it 63% Universitatea Cluj, 23% draw, 14% Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe — fair odds of 1.59, 4.35 and 7.14.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (13%).
Expected goals: Universitatea Cluj 2.06, Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 0.72.
Both teams to score: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%, under 2.5: 47%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,154 settled matches.
One-sided: Universitatea Cluj are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Universitatea Cluj's rating is built from 55 Romanian Liga I matches and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe's from 15, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 760 matches.
Key facts
- Universitatea Cluj are 5th on 26 points from 15 games; Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe are 11th on 18 points from 15 games — Liga I.
- Universitatea Cluj are unbeaten in 4 games, most recently a 0-0 draw away to Csikszereda.
- Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-1 win at home to FC Voluntari.
- Last 6 meetings: Universitatea Cluj 2 wins to 1, 3 draws; the most recent, 26 July 2026, ended Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1–0 Universitatea Cluj.
More Romanian Liga I predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Universitatea Cluj vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Has the model earned this number?
Universitatea Cluj at 63%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Universitatea Cluj vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Universitatea Cluj
Liga I
- D0-0away to Csikszereda7 November 2026
- W1-0FCSB2 November 2026
- W3-0away to Corvinul Hunedoara23 October 2026
- D2-2Arges Pitesti19 October 2026
- L3-4Rapid12 October 2026
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Liga I
- W2-1FC Voluntari8 November 2026
- D1-1away to Oțelul1 November 2026
- L0-5Universitatea Craiova26 October 2026
- D1-1away to Petrolul Ploiesti17 October 2026
- L0-2Dinamo Bucuresti9 October 2026
What these results say
- Universitatea Cluj scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Universitatea Cluj | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 20 | +6 | 26 |
| 11 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Universitatea Cluj
Chance to finish in the top six · 83% today
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 23% today
From our Liga I season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Universitatea Cluj vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
- 26 July 2026Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1–0 Universitatea ClujLiga I
- 4 December 2025Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 2–2 Universitatea ClujCupa României
- 20 December 2024Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 0–0 Universitatea ClujLiga I
- 19 August 2024Universitatea Cluj 3–0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
- 25 February 2024Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 0–0 Universitatea ClujLiga I
- 9 October 2023Universitatea Cluj 1–0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
Leading scorers: Universitatea Cluj and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Universitatea Cluj
GoalsAssists
- J. Lukić73
- A. Aliev62
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Universitatea Cluj a 1.1% chance of the title and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Universitatea Cluj the highest probability at 63%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.06 expected goals for Universitatea Cluj against 0.72 for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe. Universitatea Cluj's attack/defence rating is 0.81/1.44 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.45/1.7 for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe.
How the model reaches 63% for Universitatea Cluj to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Universitatea Cluj to win. Then home advantage adds 7 points, Universitatea Cluj's ratings add 11 points and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe's ratings add 9 points, which lands on the published 63%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage43%+7
- Universitatea Cluj's ratings54%+11
- Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe's ratings63%+9
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Universitatea Cluj at home · Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe away
League matches only, Liga I, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
Universitatea ClujSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Universitatea Cluj are 5th after 15 Liga I matches (between 3rd and 14th so far); Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe are 11th after 15 (between 6th and 13th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Liga I matches this season: Universitatea Cluj 15, Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 15.
Universitatea Cluj score most often in the 76–90 minute window (8 goals); Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe have let in 5 there.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe score most often in the 31–45 minute window (3 goals); Universitatea Cluj have let in 4 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Universitatea Cluj
- at FC Botosani5 Dec · Liga Iwin 40%
- vs CFR 1907 Cluj12 Dec · Liga Iwin 47%
- at Uta Arad19 Dec · Liga Iwin 38%
- vs Dinamo Bucuresti16 Jan · Liga Iwin 38%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
- vs Corvinul Hunedoara5 Dec · Liga Iwin 31%
- at FCSB12 Dec · Liga Iwin 17%
- vs Csikszereda19 Dec · Liga Iwin 44%
- at Farul Constanta16 Jan · Liga Iwin 20%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.