Banfield
vs
Belgrano Cordoba
The model makes it 47% Banfield, 22% draw, 31% Belgrano Cordoba — fair odds of 2.13, 4.55 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Banfield 2.03, Belgrano Cordoba 1.62.
Both teams to score: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%, under 2.5: 29%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Model insights
Head-to-head: Banfield vs Belgrano Cordoba
- 8 February 2026Belgrano Cordoba 1–0 BanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
- 9 August 2025Belgrano Cordoba 2–1 BanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
- 7 February 2025Banfield 1–1 Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 6 November 2024Banfield 1–1 Belgrano CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 26 June 2023Belgrano Cordoba 3–1 BanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
- 22 October 2018Belgrano Cordoba 1–1 BanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
Leading scorers
Banfield
- M. Méndez6 goals3 assists
Belgrano Cordoba
No league goals recorded yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Banfield carry a model rating of 6.59 against 6.63 for Belgrano Cordoba. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
Recent form (most recent last): Banfield D-W-L-W-D; Belgrano Cordoba W-W-W-L-D.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.03 goals for Banfield and 1.62 for Belgrano Cordoba. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Banfield rate 0.86 in attack and 1.45 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Belgrano Cordoba rate 0.80 and 1.25.
That points to 71% for over two and a half goals and 70% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 234 correct results out of 488 settled predictions (48%), with 47 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Banfield the highest probability at 47%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.03 expected goals for Banfield against 1.62 for Belgrano Cordoba. Banfield's attack/defence rating is 0.86/1.45 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.8/1.25 for Belgrano Cordoba.