Racing Club vs Banfield Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Racing Club 0-1 Banfield.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Racing Club, 24% draw, 33% Banfield — fair odds of 2.33, 4.17 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Racing Club at 43%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Racing Club vs Banfield
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 25F. CambesesG
- 4E. CannavoD
- 38M. MartinezD
- 6M. RojoD
- 19I. RodriguezD
- 5M. KranevitterM
- 16U. OrtegozaM
- 10M. MiljevicM
- 46A. TelloM
- 32L. DiazF
- 17T. ConechnyF
- 30M. TagliamonteG
- 18PachaD
- 43G. EscuderoD
- 15G. N. Martirena TorresD
- 34T. RubioD
- 20G. A. LodicoM
- 37S. AguirreM
- 40F. FragaF
- 22E. TorresF
- 25G. SantilliG
- 4J. L. AlfaroD
- 13B. OviedoD
- 34S. DanieleD
- 6N. MerianoD
- 19L. CanoD
- 11F. AlvarezM
- 35N. PaisM
- 7L. PineroM
- 18F. MedinaF
- 22A. MachadoF
- 1F. SanguinettiG
- 27I. AbrahamD
- 21L. VillegasM
- 5S. EsquivelM
- 33N. MorenoM
- 24S. LopezM
- 10L. GomezM
- 30F. AnselmoF
- 9B. SepulvedaF
Form going into Racing Club vs Banfield
Racing Club
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Argentinos Juniors9 August 2026
- L1-3Tigre1 August 2026
- D0-0away to Rosario Central29 July 2026
- W2-1Gimnasia La Plata24 July 2026
Banfield
All competitions we cover
- L0-2Belgrano Cordoba10 August 2026
- D0-0away to Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto1 August 2026
- W3-2Sarmiento Junin28 July 2026
- L0-1away to Huracan25 July 2026
What these results say
- Racing Club failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Racing Club scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Racing Club conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Banfield failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Banfield failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Banfield conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Racing Club | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 15 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Racing Club vs Banfield
- 14 February 2026Banfield 0–2 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
- 11 October 2025Banfield 1–3 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
- 6 April 2025Racing Club 4–1 BanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
- 27 October 2024Banfield 2–1 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
- 4 June 2023Racing Club 2–0 BanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
- 19 August 2022Banfield 0–2 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
The result against the call
Banfield won 1–0 at Racing Club. The model had leaned towards a win for Racing Club at 43% and given a win for Banfield 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: A. Machado 24' for Banfield. On expected goals it finished 2.11–0.40.