Ulsan Hyundai FC vs FC Seoul K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Ulsan Hyundai FC 1-0 FC Seoul.
Before kick-off the model made it 33% Ulsan Hyundai FC, 30% draw, 37% FC Seoul — fair odds of 3.03, 3.33 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Seoul at 37% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 2,861 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Ulsan Hyundai FC vs FC Seoul
Line-ups
- 21Jo Hyeon-WooG
- 4Seo Myung-GuanD
- 15Jung Seung-HyunD
- 19Kim Young-GwonD
- 33Jang Si-YoungM
- 24Lee Gyu-SeongM
- 55T. Oude KotteM
- 26Cho Hyun-TaekM
- 14Lee Jin-HyunF
- 10Lee Dong-GyeongF
- 11Erick FariasF
- 6D. BojanicM
- 8H. LeeM
- 13Ryu Seong-MinG
- 16Park Woo-jinM
- 17Kang Sang-WooD
- 27PedrinhoF
- 66M. TrojakD
- 72Baek In-WooM
- 77Sim Sang-MinD
- 25Gu Sung-YunG
- 16Choi JunD
- 5Y. Al ArabD
- 37J. RosD
- 22Kim Jin-SuD
- 7Jeong Seung-WonM
- 42J. SonM
- 6H. BabecM
- 10Anderson OliveiraM
- 27Moon Seon-MinF
- 9P. KlimalaF
- 8Lee Seung-MoM
- 17Ahn Jae-minD
- 19Cheon Seong-HoonF
- 20Lee Han-DoD
- 21Jung Ha-wonM
- 24M. KimM
- 31Kang Hyeon-MuG
- 66Park Soo-IlD
- 88Park Jang Han-GyeolM
Form going into Ulsan Hyundai FC vs FC Seoul
Ulsan Hyundai FC
- D0-0away to Jeju United FC5 September 2026
FC Seoul
- W1-0Incheon United5 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 44 | +4 | 47 |
| 1 | FC Seoul | 31 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 58 | 26 | +32 | 65 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Ulsan Hyundai FC and FC Seoul
Ulsan Hyundai FC
GoalsAssists
- Yago Cariello91
- Lee Dong-Gyeong76
FC Seoul
GoalsAssists
- P. Klimala60
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.