Daejeon Citizen
vs
FC Anyang
K League 1 prediction
The model makes it 81% Daejeon Citizen, 10% draw, 9% FC Anyang — fair odds of 1.23, 10.00 and 11.11. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 4-1 (6%).
Expected goals: Daejeon Citizen 4.45, FC Anyang 1.69.
Both teams to score: 81%. Over 2.5 goals: 94%, under 2.5: 6%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Daejeon Citizen
- W3-0Gangwon FC23 August 2026
- L2-4away to FC Seoul15 August 2026
- W2-1away to FC Anyang8 August 2026
- W2-0Gwangju FC2 August 2026
- L2-3away to Gimcheon Sangmu FC25 July 2026
FC Anyang
- L0-7FC Seoul22 August 2026
- L0-2away to Jeju United FC15 August 2026
- L1-2Daejeon Citizen8 August 2026
- L1-3away to Ulsan Hyundai FC2 August 2026
- W2-1Gangwon FC26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Daejeon Citizen | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 32 | 28 | +4 | 29 |
| 8 | FC Anyang | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 30 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Leading scorers
Daejeon Citizen
No league goals recorded yet.
FC Anyang
- Airton3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Daejeon Citizen carry a model rating of 6.65 against 6.25 for FC Anyang. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Daejeon Citizen L-W-W-L-W; FC Anyang W-L-L-L-L.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 4.45 goals for Daejeon Citizen and 1.69 for FC Anyang. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Daejeon Citizen rate 1.11 in attack and 1.92 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; FC Anyang rate 0.63 and 2.12.
That points to 94% for over two and a half goals and 81% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 4-1 (6%), 3-1 (6%), 5-1 (5%).
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour FC Anyang, while our numbers lean the other way. The model weights recent expected goals rather than results already banked, so it moves before the table does.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 601 correct results out of 1266 settled predictions (47%), with 115 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Daejeon Citizen the highest probability at 81%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 4.45 expected goals for Daejeon Citizen against 1.69 for FC Anyang. Daejeon Citizen's attack/defence rating is 1.11/1.92 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.63/2.12 for FC Anyang.