Gangwon FC vs Jeonbuk Motors K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Gangwon FC 1-1 Jeonbuk Motors.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Gangwon FC, 30% draw, 30% Jeonbuk Motors — fair odds of 2.50, 3.33 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Gangwon FC at 40% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Gangwon FC vs Jeonbuk Motors
Line-ups
- 1Park Cheong-HyoG
- 27Kim Do-HyunD
- 24H. ParkD
- 4Seo Min-WooD
- 5A. Mammar ChaoucheD
- 99Kang Joon-HyuckD
- 10Mo Jae-HyeonM
- 97Lee You-HyeonM
- 6Kim Dong-HyunM
- 7Kim Dae-WonM
- 9Kim Gun-HeeF
- 51Cho Min-KyuG
- 23M. TuciD
- 29Choi Jae-hyuckD
- 3Jeong Seung-BinD
- 11Goh Young-JunM
- 57Lee Yong-JaeM
- 26W. ChoF
- 19Park Sang-HyeokF
- 77A. HleihelF
- 31Song Bum-KeunG
- 23Kim Tae-HwanD
- 4Cho Wi-JeD
- 2Kim Young-BinD
- 77Kim Tae-HyeonD
- 16J. GamboaM
- 28Lee Yeong-JaeM
- 11Kim Seung-SubM
- 10Lee Seung-WooM
- 95ItaloM
- 9Tiago OroboF
- 1Lee Ju-hyeonG
- 3Yeon Je-WoonD
- 15Kim Ha-junD
- 24Lee Sang-myungD
- 6Maeng Seong-UngM
- 7Lee Dong-JunM
- 30DodoM
- 70H. ParkM
- 99Bruno MotaF
Form going into Gangwon FC vs Jeonbuk Motors
Gangwon FC
- W3-0away to FC Anyang6 September 2026
- D0-0Pohang Steelers30 August 2026
- D2-2Gwangju FC26 August 2026
- L0-3away to Daejeon Citizen23 August 2026
- W3-2away to Ulsan Hyundai FC16 August 2026
Jeonbuk Motors
- W2-0Pohang Steelers5 September 2026
What these results say
- 4 of these 5 matches for Gangwon FC had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Gangwon FC | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 38 | 28 | +10 | 46 |
| 5 | Jeonbuk Motors | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 39 | 30 | +9 | 44 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Gangwon FC and Jeonbuk Motors
Gangwon FC
GoalsAssists
- A. Halaihal40
- Mo Jae-Hyeon32
Jeonbuk Motors
GoalsAssists
- Tiago Orobó60
- Lee Seung-Woo43
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.