Union Santa Fe vs Instituto Cordoba Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Union Santa Fe 3-2 Instituto Cordoba.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% Union Santa Fe, 30% draw, 36% Instituto Cordoba — fair odds of 2.94, 3.33 and 2.78. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Instituto Cordoba at 36% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1728 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 2 sendings-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Union Santa Fe vs Instituto Cordoba
Line-ups
- 21M. MansillaG
- 15J. PintadoD
- 44T. FagioliD
- 26J. LudueñaD
- 18L. AyalaD
- 22B. CuelloM
- 5L. MenossiM
- 8E. GiacconeM
- 10V. MalcorraM
- 25C. TarragonaF
- 19M. EstigarribiaF
- 36M. AimarD
- 38V. J. CerrudoF
- 32N. GarciaD
- 46S. GrellaM
- 40L. MeuliG
- 17J. MosqueiraM
- 34M. PeresuttiM
- 12B. PittónD
- 43E. RamírezF
- 29M. LedesmaG
- 26L. MosevichD
- 30J. GalvánD
- 6F. AlarcónD
- 44G. CeratoM
- 10A. LunaM
- 55G. AbregúM
- 3D. SosaM
- 20J. CórdobaF
- 17M. TisseraF
- 15M. GallardoF
- 32A. BravoD
- 8J. AcevedoM
- 2H. De La FuenteD
- 11M. FonsecaF
- 7N. GuerraF
- 21J. LázaroM
- 22A. MassaccesiD
- 23J. MeliD
- 13I. MéndezM
Form going into Union Santa Fe vs Instituto Cordoba
Union Santa Fe
- W4-1Sarmiento Junin28 August 2026
- W3-1away to Aldosivi21 August 2026
- L0-1away to San Lorenzo15 August 2026
Instituto Cordoba
- W1-0San Lorenzo1 September 2026
- D0-0away to Atletico Tucuman22 August 2026
- W1-0away to Central Cordoba de Santiago16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 13 |
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Union Santa Fe vs Instituto Cordoba
- 8 September 2026Union Santa Fe 3–2 Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 1 March 2026Instituto Cordoba 1–2 Union Santa FeLiga Profesional Argentina
- 15 August 2025Instituto Cordoba 0–4 Union Santa FeLiga Profesional Argentina
- 14 February 2025Union Santa Fe 0–0 Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 18 May 2024Instituto Cordoba 1–1 Union Santa FeLiga Profesional Argentina
- 6 February 2023Union Santa Fe 0–2 Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
Leading scorers: Union Santa Fe and Instituto Cordoba
Union Santa Fe
- C. Tarragona14 goals1 assists
Instituto Cordoba
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.