20 September 2026, 12:30 UTC

TSV Hartberg vs Lask Linz Bundesliga prediction & result

Stadion Hartberg, Hartberg
Full time3 – 3

Final score: TSV Hartberg 3-3 Lask Linz.

Before kick-off the model made it 32% TSV Hartberg, 29% draw, 39% Lask Linz — fair odds of 3.13, 3.45 and 2.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Lask Linz at 39% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

TSV Hartberg4%Draw92%Lask Linz4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

7'
⚽Sascha Horvathassist: Florian Flecker
Konstantin Schopp
21'
30'
⚽Christoph Langassist: Sascha Horvath
45'
🔁Moses Usorout: Sasa Kalajdzic
🔁Angelo Gattermayerout: Jed Drew
45'
🔁Oliver Lukicout: Andrija Radulovic
45'
⚽Andrija Radulovicassist: Jed Drew
46'
58'
⚽Andres Andradeassist: George Bello
Tobias Kainz
68'
68'
🔁João Victor Tornichout: Alessandro Schöpf
🔁Tobias Kainzout: Youba Diarra
68'
68'
🔁Christoph Langout: Miguel Freckleton
68'
🔁Sascha Horvathout: Samuel Adeniran
⚽Andrija Radulovic
72'
⚽Jed Drewassist: Andrija Radulovic
77'
Andrija Radulovic
77'
83'
🔁Melayro Bogardeout: Krystof Danek
🔁Marco Hoffmannout: David Korherr
89'
Fabian Wilfinger
90+2'

Match stats — TSV Hartberg vs Lask Linz

40%Possession60%
10Shots16
3On target6
1Corners9

Line-ups

TSV Hartberg 5-3-2
  • 91Á. PécsiG
  • 18F. WilfingerD
  • 27K. SchoppD
  • 14P. KomposchD
  • 6Habib CoulibalyD
  • 16M. DalpiazD
  • 10O. LukicM
  • 4B. MarkušM
  • 23T. KainzM
  • 7A. GattermayerF
  • 22M. HoffmanF
Substitutes
  • 5Y. DiarraM
  • 11J. DrewF
  • 95Nikolaus FeldhoferM
  • 17J. KarnerM
  • 77D. KorherrF
  • 21L. MarićG
  • 49A. RadulovićF
  • 19L. SpendlhoferD
  • 3S FreundM
Coach: M. Schopp
Lask Linz 3-4-1-2
  • 1L. JungwirthG
  • 4X. MbuyambaD
  • 43AlemãoD
  • 16A. AndradeD
  • 29F. FleckerM
  • 6M. BogardeM
  • 30S. HorvathM
  • 2G. BelloM
  • 10R. LjubičićM
  • 8M. UsorF
  • 27C. LangF
Substitutes
  • 23Daniel ElfadliM
  • 25Y. DibangoD
  • 9K. DaněkM
  • 7S. AdeniranF
  • 3M. FreckletonD
  • 11S. KalajdzicF
  • 18A. SchöpfM
  • 33T. SchützenauerG
Coach: D. Kühbauer

Form going into TSV Hartberg vs Lask Linz

TSV Hartberg

All competitions we cover

  • D2-2away to WSG Wattens13 September 2026
  • W3-2Ried30 August 2026
  • W2-1away to SCR Altach22 August 2026
  • L0-2Austria Vienna16 August 2026
  • L0-2Sturm Graz8 August 2026

Lask Linz

Bundesliga

  • L1-2away to Sturm Graz13 September 2026

What these results say

  • TSV Hartberg conceded in every one of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6TSV Hartberg104241619-314
3Lask Linz106132412+1219

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: TSV Hartberg vs Lask Linz

  • 26 April 2026TSV Hartberg 1–5 Lask LinzBundesliga
  • 13 March 2026Lask Linz 0–0 TSV HartbergBundesliga
  • 6 December 2025TSV Hartberg 2–2 Lask LinzBundesliga
  • 5 October 2025Lask Linz 3–3 TSV HartbergBundesliga
  • 26 May 2025Lask Linz 2–0 TSV HartbergBundesliga

Leading scorers: TSV Hartberg and Lask Linz

TSV Hartberg

GoalsAssists

  • C. Hoffmann41

Lask Linz

GoalsAssists

  • C. Lang70
  • S. Adeniran61

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

TSV Hartberg and Lask Linz drew 3–3. The model had leaned towards a win for Lask Linz at 39% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Sascha Horvath 7' for Lask Linz, Christoph Lang 30' for Lask Linz, Andrija Radulovic 46' for TSV Hartberg, Andres Andrade 58' for Lask Linz, Andrija Radulovic 72' for TSV Hartberg, Jed Drew 77' for TSV Hartberg.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.