Nyiregyhaza vs Ferencvarosi TC NB I prediction & result
Final score: Nyiregyhaza 1-1 Ferencvarosi TC.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% Nyiregyhaza, 30% draw, 36% Ferencvarosi TC — fair odds of 2.94, 3.33 and 2.78. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Ferencvarosi TC at 36% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Nyiregyhaza vs Ferencvarosi TC
Line-ups
- 32B. TóthG
- 24V. JovanovD
- 15A. TemesváriD
- 31L. KatonaD
- 70M. KatonaD
- 8Zsombor HosM
- 12M. KovácsM
- 6Y. TomaM
- 10B. MannerM
- 9M. KvasinaF
- 23M. RegžaF
- 99Á. AlaxaiD
- 7N. AntonovD
- 29J. BatoumF
- 57M. DalaG
- 74D. KaczvinszkiD
- 55B. KatonaM
- 26Ž. MedvedF
- 39R. ŽikovićD
- 21Z. VukkM
- 1Á. VargaG
- 14A. OsváthD
- 28T. RaemaekersD
- 71C. LakatosD
- 47C. O'DowdaD
- 8N. KeïtaM
- 11B. YusufM
- 16K. ZachariassenM
- 17M. CorbuM
- 15D. ArzaniM
- 76K. LisztesF
- 22M. BeroM
- 54O. NagyD
- 6Á. NagyM
- 72Ádám MadarászM
- 10J. LeviF
- 19F. KovačevićF
- 4M. GómezD
- 90D. DibuszG
- 20CaduM
Form going into Nyiregyhaza vs Ferencvarosi TC
Nyiregyhaza
NB I
- L2-3away to Vasas4 September 2026
Ferencvarosi TC
NB I
- D2-2Ujpest6 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nyiregyhaza | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 11 |
| 3 | Ferencvarosi TC | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Nyiregyhaza vs Ferencvarosi TC
- 8 March 2026Nyiregyhaza 1–3 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
- 22 November 2025Ferencvarosi TC 1–3 NyiregyhazaNB I
- 9 August 2025Nyiregyhaza 1–4 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
- 20 April 2025Ferencvarosi TC 7–0 NyiregyhazaNB I
- 15 December 2024Nyiregyhaza 0–1 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
Leading scorers: Nyiregyhaza and Ferencvarosi TC
Nyiregyhaza
GoalsAssists
- M. Kvasina30
Ferencvarosi TC
GoalsAssists
- B. Yusuf31
- K. Zachariassen31
- M. Corbu30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Nyiregyhaza and Ferencvarosi TC drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Ferencvarosi TC at 36% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Zsombor Hös 7' for Nyiregyhaza, Mariano Gómez 59' for Ferencvarosi TC.
How the call on Nyiregyhaza v Ferencvarosi TC has moved
First published on 5 Sep at 33% / 32% / 35% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 34% / 30% / 36%: the biggest move is the draw, down 2 points.
- Nyiregyhaza win34%▲ +1
- Draw30%▼ −2
- Ferencvarosi TC win36%▲ +1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.