Ujpest vs Zalaegerszegi TE NB I prediction & result
Final score: Ujpest 2-1 Zalaegerszegi TE.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Ujpest, 27% draw, 24% Zalaegerszegi TE — fair odds of 2.04, 3.70 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Ujpest at 49% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Ujpest vs Zalaegerszegi TE
Line-ups
- 1P. SzappanosG
- 36Ferenc UjvaryD
- 3HeitorD
- 94P. StronatiD
- 20M. ZekeD
- 10A. MaierM
- 8N. SzendreiM
- 17A. MatkoM
- 88M. LjujićM
- 11K. HorváthM
- 14E. AmenyidoF
- 45A. AdemiM
- 23D. BanaiG
- 2J. BodnárD
- 5A. FiolaD
- 27Á. KrajcsovicsF
- 15M. MátéM
- 30João NunesD
- 38K. SarkadiM
- 21T. ScharmerM
- 1B. Gundel-TakácsG
- 8A. CsonkaD
- 13T. PeñalbaD
- 33Antonio DiogoD
- 18CalderónD
- 74B. BabosM
- 30F. AmatoM
- 6E. KujovićM
- 23MaxM
- 9Matheus MachadoF
- 7Danylo KrevsunF
- 2Aiden Joshua HarangiD
- 10B. KissM
- 20M. RichardsM
- 32L. AlfonsoF
- 99Zeteny GaraiD
- 3Fernando José Vera GarcíaD
- 17Teixeira GuilhermeF
- 47Q. TchicamboudM
- 31Ž. MauricioG
Form going into Ujpest vs Zalaegerszegi TE
Ujpest
NB I
- D2-2away to Ferencvarosi TC6 September 2026
Zalaegerszegi TE
NB I
- W1-0Puskas Academy6 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ujpest | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 15 |
| 12 | Zalaegerszegi TE | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Ujpest vs Zalaegerszegi TE
- 21 March 2026Zalaegerszegi TE 2–0 UjpestNB I
- 7 December 2025Ujpest 0–2 Zalaegerszegi TENB I
- 23 August 2025Zalaegerszegi TE 1–4 UjpestNB I
- 11 May 2025Zalaegerszegi TE 0–0 UjpestNB I
- 16 February 2025Ujpest 1–2 Zalaegerszegi TENB I
Leading scorers: Ujpest and Zalaegerszegi TE
Ujpest
GoalsAssists
- A. Matko53
- E. Amenyido34
- G. Vlijter32
Zalaegerszegi TE
GoalsAssists
- Arthur Henrique30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Ujpest beat Zalaegerszegi TE 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Ujpest at 49%. The goals: Danylo Krevsun 30' for Zalaegerszegi TE, Ábel Krajcsovics 75' for Ujpest, Aljosa Matko 90+1' for Ujpest.
How the call on Ujpest v Zalaegerszegi TE has moved
First published on 5 Sep at 53% / 27% / 20% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 49% / 27% / 24%: the biggest move is Ujpest's chance of winning, down 4 points.
- Ujpest win49%▼ −4
- Draw27%=
- Zalaegerszegi TE win24%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.